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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/03/18

Rays vs Orioles
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays are heading north to take on their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The matchup will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Sun.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

The Blue Jays are 62-74 straight up (SU) and 56-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.1 units for moneyline bettors and 33.9 units (ATS). Toronto has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total went over in six of those seven. The Rays have gone 73-63 SU this year and are 74-61 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 14.2 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 71-56-8 in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a strong under bet with a total record of 57-73-5.

The right-handed Ryne Stanek is getting the start for the visiting Rays. Stanek is 2-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).

The Blue Jays are going with righty Marcus Stroman (4-8, 5.27 ERA), who’s got 76 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Stroman is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.64 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.17.

The Rays offense has slashed .257/.332/.398 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle continue to lead Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is slashing .297/.355/.372 with four home runs, 37 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Wendle (.298/.346/.427) has produced seven homers, 49 RBIs, 48 runs and 12 steals.

In the home-team dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.22 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 57 games against AL East foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.

The Toronto hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .266/.335/.468 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Smoak is slashing .251/.357/.477 with 23 home runs, 70 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .251/.278/.415 with 11 homers, 51 RBIs, 54 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 6.3 units and are 38-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Both teams have recorded 19 extra-base hits over their last five contests.

Tampa Bay has recorded 27.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.

The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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