The TCU Horned Frogs (15-5, 3-4 Big 12) travel to Baylor to play the Bears (14-6, 5-2 Big 12) in a game that has the potential to be low-scoring. The game can be seen on ESPNU at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears ATS Prediction
In the Horned Frogs’ last outing, they were thoroughly outplayed by the No. 16 Texas Tech Red Raiders, 84-65. Texas Tech’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over TCU. The Red Raiders had a rate of 9.7 (better than their season average of 17.8), while the Horned Frogs posted a mark of 18.7. TCU’s Kevin Samuel played well, recording 10 points and 12 rebounds.
The Bears easily got past the Oklahoma Sooners in their last matchup, 77-47. The Bears, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.505, had a fantastic mark of 0.632 and held the Sooners to an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.5 (below their season average of 28.0). With eight points and 11 rebounds, Baylor’s Mark Vital put together a good outing.
This is the second game of the season between these two squads. JD Miller had 13 points and 10 rebounds in the first game, in which the Horned Frogs beat the Bears 85-81. The Horned Frogs had a better effective field goal percentage (0.623 vs. 0.525) and had a better free throw rate (0.358 vs. 0.322).
Points could be at a premium in this matchup between a pair of the nation’s top defenses. Baylor currently ranks 42nd in defensive efficiency (95.1) and TCU is 51st (95.6).
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
TCU ranks 12th in assists per game (17.6) while Baylor ranks 108th (14.1).
The Horned Frogs average 4.0 blocks per game, which ranks 62nd in the NCAA. The Bears rank 144th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
Baylor ranks 38th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while TCU ranks 63rd (32.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Horned Frogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 9.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 76.2 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 63.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average).
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