The TCU Horned Frogs (13-3, 2-2 Big 12) travel to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats (13-4, 3-2 Big 12) in a matchup that pits phenomenal offense against exceptional defense. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 19, 2019, and will air on ESPN2.
TCU Horned Frogs at Kansas State Wildcats ATS Prediction
In the Horned Frogs’ last outing, they blew out the West Virginia Mountaineers, 98-67. The Horned Frogs made 28 of their 37 free throws (75.7 percent) and held the Mountaineers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.408 (below their season average of 0.492). TCU was lifted by Desmond Bane, who was the game’s leading scorer with 26 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
The Wildcats beat the No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners in their last outing, 74-61. Kansas State’s 14.1 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma, who had a rate of 21.9. The Wildcats’ mark was better than their season average of 15.8, while the Sooners’ was above their season average of 16.2. Barry Brown Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 11-for-19 shooting from the field.
After the Wildcats won two out of three matchups against the Horned Frogs last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent game, Kansas State won 66-64. Kansas State had a better free throw rate (0.196 vs. 0.130). TCU, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.528 vs. 0.491).
Kansas State might struggle to score as they battle against one of the nation’s best defenses. TCU currently ranks 41st in defensive efficiency, while the Wildcats rank 294th in offensive efficiency.
TCU vs. Kansas State Free Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Kansas State, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
TCU ranks fifth in assists per game (19.4) while Kansas State ranks 126th (13.6).
The Horned Frogs rank 44th in three pointers allowed per game (19.8) while the Wildcats rank 130th (22.6).
TCU ranks 30th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Kansas State ranks 105th (6.6).
The Wildcats rank 37th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while the Horned Frogs rank 65th (33.1).
Kansas State allows the 33rd-fewest blocks per game (2.6) while TCU ranks 60th (2.9).
Bettings Trends:
The Horned Frogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 12.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 61.4 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 63.4 points per game (3.9 above their season average).
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