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TCU Horned Frogs – Texas Longhorns Preview – 01.26.2016

Big 12 foes will collide when the Texas Longhorns (12-7) challenge the TCU Horned Frogs (9-10) at Frank Erwin Special Events Center. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 26 and can be seen on LHN and ES3.

The Longhorns are hoping to rebound after their 76-67 loss to Kansas on Saturday. Isaiah Taylor had a solid performance, putting up 13 points, six rebounds, and five assists for Texas. The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 73-60 loss against Iowa State on Saturday. Chauncey Collins had a team-high 14 points.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Horned Frogs winning the first matchup 58-57. Javan Felix had a standout performance with 16 points, three assists, and one steal in the loss.

This one isn’t expected to be close when Texas, a substantial 12-point favorite, takes on TCU. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 131 points for this matchup. Despite being 12-7 Straight Up (SU), the Longhorns have struggled to cover the spread in most of their matchups, only managing a record of 7-11 Against The Spread (ATS). The Longhorns have really locked down opponents on the defensive end, ranking 43rd in the country with a .400 opponent field-goal percentage. Opponents have consistently had their shots rejected by the Longhorns, ranking 36th in the country in blocks per game with 5.1.

As for their opponent, the Horned Frogs have 9-10 SU and 6-7 ATS records.

In their previous meeting this season, TCU beat Texas, but the win was not enough to overtake Texas in their recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 1-8 SU over the most recent meetings. Furthermore, Texas holds the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4. Texas held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers two times, while TCU was never able to do so in their most recent five games.

Predictions: SU Winner – Tex, ATS Winner – Tex, O/U – Over

Notes

Texas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.

Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Texas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing TCU.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas’s last 5 games when playing TCU.

Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against TCU.

The TCU Horned Frogs currently sit below 0.500 against the Big 12 Conference at 1-6 SU, while the Texas Longhorns have a 4-3 SU record.

The Texas Longhorns average a field goal percentage of 43.8% this season. The TCU Horned Frogs have a poor record of 2-5 when opponents have a FG% of 43.8% or greater.

The Texas Longhorns rank lower for their field goal percentage (191st) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (167th), but the TCU Horned Frogs have a better FG% ranking (283rd) than eFG% ranking (303rd).

Texas, the 36th-ranked team in blocked shots, records an average of 5.1 per game. TCU does worse, ranked 121st with 3.9.

Opponents have had an average turnover percentage of 21.9% when playing TCU this season. Texas is undefeated this season (2-0) when its TO% is 21.9% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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