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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview 01/28/19

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The TCU Horned Frogs (15-4, 3-3 Big 12) head to No. 14 Texas Tech to play the Red Raiders (16-4, 4-3 Big 12) in a game that has the potential to be low-scoring. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, January 28, 2019, and will air on ESPN.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Prediction

The Horned Frogs will be hoping for a similar result after topping the Florida Gators in their last matchup, 55-50. The Horned Frogs knocked down 14 of their 19 free throws (73.7 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.2 (above their season average of 31.7). TCU received a boost from Desmond Bane, who finished with 17 points and six rebounds.

The last time the Red Raiders played, they barely escaped the Arkansas Razorbacks, 67-64. Texas Tech had an effective field goal percentage of 0.628 (above their season average of 0.521). Arkansas, meanwhile, forced the Red Raiders into a turnover percentage of 29.0 (above their season average of 17.2). Davide Moretti was the game’s top scorer with 21 points on 6-for-9 shooting from the field.

Points could be at a premium in this battle between a pair of the country’s premier defenses. Texas Tech currently ranks first in defensive efficiency (83.6) and TCU is 32nd (93.8).

After the Red Raiders won both matchups against the Horned Frogs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Texas Tech won 79-75. Texas Tech did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-29; 79.3 percent). TCU, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.5 vs. 11.1).

TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Texas Tech ranks second in assists allowed per game (9.0) while TCU ranks 154th (13.7).

The Horned Frogs rank 160th in three pointers attempted per game (22.1) while the Red Raiders rank 275th (17.8).

Texas Tech ranks 19th in blocks per game (5.0) while TCU ranks 98th in blocks allowed per game (3.3).

The Horned Frogs average 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 80th in the nation. The Red Raiders rank 146th in steals allowed per game (6.8).

Texas Tech ranks 45th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while TCU ranks 67th (32.8).

Bettings Trends:

The Horned Frogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, down from 10.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 61.2 points per game (8.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.0 points per game (8.7 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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