The Tennessee State Tigers (5-13, 2-4 OVC) and the Austin Peay Governors (13-6, 5-1 OVC), who both like to play up-tempo, will face off at Winfield Dunn Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 24, 2019.
Tennessee State Tigers at Austin Peay Governors Betting Prediction
In the Tigers’ last matchup, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Belmont Bruins, 92-74. Belmont’s 0.760 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Tennessee State, who had a rate of 0.477. The Bruins’ mark was above their season average of 0.547. Michael Littlejohn led Tennessee State in scoring with 19 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
The Governors lost a tough one against the Eastern Illinois Panthers in their last contest, 85-83. Eastern Illinois’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Austin Peay. The Panthers had a rate of 50.0 (above their season average of 27.8), while the Governors posted a mark of 28.6. Chris Porter-Bunton had a good game for Austin Peay, leading the team in scoring with 24 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
After the Tigers won the lone game against the Governors last season, 70-56, these teams will meet for the first time this year. Tennessee State did a terrific job of making free throws (19-24; 79.2 percent). Austin Peay, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (43.2 vs. 21.7).
There should be a fair amount of transition offense in this battle that features two of the NCAA’s more up-tempo teams. Austin Peay currently ranks 52nd in possessions per game (73.2) and Tennessee State is 29th (74.8). Additionally, the Tigers rank 331st in turnover percentage (22.8 percent), while the Governors rank 27th in opponents’ turnover percentage (23.4 percent).
Tennessee State at Austin Peay ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Austin Peay, ATS Winner – Tennessee State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Tennessee State ranks 30th in three pointers allowed per game (19.0) while Austin Peay ranks 142nd (22.6).
The Tigers average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks 33rd in the NCAA. The Governors rank 132nd in steals allowed per game (6.8).
Tennessee State ranks 44th in assists allowed per game (11.2) while Austin Peay ranks 137th (13.3).
The Governors rank 93rd in blocks per game (3.5) while the Tigers rank 152nd in blocks allowed per game (4.4).
Austin Peay averages 37.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 74th in the nation. Tennessee State ranks 133rd in rebounds allowed per game (34.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Tigers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 4.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Governors have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.6 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
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