The Tennessee Titans (-3.5) are heading northeast to face the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field. This early afternoon game will get going at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to televise the action.
Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Buffalo is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 3.5 points in this Sunday AFC game. The Titans are also receiving -160 moneyline odds while the Bills are +140. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 38.5 points, and if one side can create a bunch of points early, it’ll likely produce a worthwhile betting scenario in-game.
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The game’s O/U has moved lower after initially being set at 39.5. The opening line hasn’t budged.
The profitable Titans are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.8 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2. The Bills have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 3.0 units. They’re 1-3 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Titans are 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bills are 1-3 SU.
The Titans look to keep it rolling after a 26-23 victory over Philadelphia last week. Marcus Mariota completed 30-of-43 passes for 344 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Mariota (46 yards on 10 rush attempts, one TD) also spearheaded the ground attack. Corey Davis (nine receptions, 161 yards, one TD) and Dion Lewis (nine catches, 66 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
In Week 4, Green Bay blanked this Buffalo team by a score of 22-0. The Bills defensive unit allowed the Packers to kill the clock by running for 141 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Aaron Jones put up a productive outing, recording 65 rushing yards and a score on 11 attempts for Green Bay. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 16-of-33 passes for 151 yards and two interceptions. Chris Ivory (15 yards on six rush attempts) led the running game as Charles Clay (four receptions, 40 yards) and Zay Jones (four catches, 38 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Tennessee’s run the ball on 49.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has an overall rush percentage of 44.7 percent. The Titans have produced 109 rush yards/game and have two scores on the ground this year. The Bills are totaling 88 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Titans ought to have an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has given up just 35 sacks while the D-line logged 43 sacks. The Bills O-line has given up 47 sacks and their defense has logged only 27 sacks.
The Titans offense has averaged 216 yards through the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Bills have recorded 173 pass yards per contest and have two total pass TDs.
Tennessee has allowed opponents to run for an average of 118 yards and pass for 261 yards per game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 277.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Titans have given up an ANY/A of 6.13 to opposing QBs, while the Bills are yielding an ANY/A of 6.60.
Passing-wise, Mariota is up to 447 yards this season. He’s connected on 66 percent of his 59 attempts with two scores through the air and three interceptions. Mariota’s got a 5.40 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.37 over the last two games.
Corey Davis (278 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown on the year), Taywan Taylor (109 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Dion Lewis (117 rush yards, one rush TD, 102 receiving yards) have each played big roles lately.
For the home team, Josh Allen has managed to complete 40-of-81 passes for 470 yards, one TD and four INTs. Allen’s ANY/A sits at a terrible 2.02 for the year and 2.78 over his past two games.
We also expect the Buffalo offense to utilize a balanced attack this Sunday. Chris Ivory (25 rushing yards, one rush TD, 30 receiving yards this season), Kelvin Benjamin (63 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Josh Allen (77 rush yards, zero receiving yards) have combined for 262 total yards and two touchdowns over the past two games.
Free Betting Pick: Titans at Bills
SU Winner – Titans, ATS Winner – Titans, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Tennessee was the underdog by 3 points in its last game and the O/U was 41. The over cashed and Tennessee covered in the 26-23 victory over Philadelphia.
Tennessee has averaged 3.51648351648352 yards per carry over its past three outings and 3.9 over its last two.
Buffalo has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.4 over its past two.
Buffalo has lost one fumble this season while Tennessee has not lost any.
In its last three contests, Tennessee is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Buffalo was favored by 9 points in its previous match and the Over/Under going into it was 44. The under cashed and Buffalo failed to cover in that 22-0 defeat to Green Bay.
In its last three matchups, Buffalo is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Titans have have made three pass plays of 30+ yards while the Bills have created four such plays.
The Tennessee defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
Both defenses have produced one rushing play of 20 or more yards and eight running plays of 10+ yards.
The Titans defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Bills have given up three such runs.
The Tennessee defensive unit has 12 sacks on the year while Buffalo has 10.
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