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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs – 9/29/2018 Free Preview

Bryan Lynn-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 2 Bulldogs of Georgia (-33) are prepared to welcome the Tennessee Volunteers to Sanford Stadium. CBS will broadcast the action and kickoff for this important SEC matchup is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview

Georgia has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 33 points to Tennessee. Bookmakers haven’t determined what the game’s over/under (O/U) will be yet. Should one team can find paydirt early, it would likely generate a nice betting opportunity in-game.

This game’s line opened at -33, but has recently shifted.

The Volunteers are down 2.0 units so far and 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 2-2. The Bulldogs are up 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Volunteers have gone 2-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Bulldogs are 4-0 SU overall and 2-0 SU in conference play.

When these two programs faced one another last year, Georgia won soundly 41-0.

The Volunteers are looking to get back on track after a 47-21 defeat to Florida last week. the Volunteers completed 10-of-25 passes for 208 yards and two interceptions. Jarrett Guarantano went seven-for-18 for 164 yards and two interceptions while Keller Chryst completed three-of-seven for 44 yards. Ty Chandler (only 66 yards on 19 rushes) and Madre London (66 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the running attack while Jauan Jennings (four receptions, 60 yards) and Marquez Callaway (two catches, 61 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Georgia takes the field this week following a 43-29 win over Missouri. Jake Fromm completed 13-of-23 passes for 260 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. D’Andre Swift (71 yards on 16 rush attempts) and Elijah Holyfield (90 yards on 14 carries) mounted the running game as Riley Ridley (five receptions, 87 yards, one TD) and Mecole Hardman (two catches, 60 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Tennessee has run the ball on 68.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia has an overall rush percentage of 64.0 percent. The Volunteers have produced 205 rush yards/game and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Dawgs are averaging 250 rushing yards per game (228 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.

It appears that the Dawgs may have an edge when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their running backs has generated 6.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.8 YPC to opponents. The Volunteers have rushed for 4.4 yards per carry while allowing 4.6 YPC to opponents.

The Vols offensive scheme has tallied 193 yards per contest in the air overall and has three passing TDs so far. The Dawgs have put up 227 pass yards per outing (231.0 in the SEC) and have 11 total pass scores.

Defensively, Tennessee has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 135 yards and pass for 181 yards per game. The Georgia D has given up 173.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.71 to opposing QBs, while the Volunteers have given up a 6.79 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Guarantano is up to 490 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 34-of-56 attempts with one scores through the air and two interceptions. Guarantano has a 6.58 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.43 over the last two outings.

The Volunteers have tried to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. The duo of Ty Chandler (62 rush yards) and Madre London (125 rush yards, three rush TDs) have brought significant production to the offensive game scripts for Tennessee.

Jake Fromm has connected on 40-of-57 passes for 611 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Georgia. His ANY/A stands at 10.63 for the season and 12.22 across his last two games.

The Dawgs should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Elijah Holyfield (24 receiving yards), Jeremiah Holloman (zero rush yards, 83 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Riley Ridley (zero rush yards, 157 receiving yards, two TDs) have seen a lot of touches recently.

Betting Prediction: Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs

SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Tennessee

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Notes

Betting Trends

Tennessee was getting 5 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 46.5. The over cashed and Tennessee did not cover in the 47-21 loss to Florida.

Tennessee has averaged 4.66891891891892 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.8 over its last two.

Georgia has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.9 over its last two.

The Georgia offense has lost one fumble this season while Tennessee has lost six.

In its last three matches, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Georgia was getting 14 points in its last outing and the Over/Under was 68. The over cashed and Georgia covered in the 43-29 victory over Missouri.

Over its last three contests, Georgia is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Volunteers offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have accounted for six such plays.

Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Tennessee defense has given up seven pass plays of 30+ yards while Georgia has given up two such plays.

The Tennessee offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Georgia has created nine such run.

The Volunteers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bulldogs have given up one such run.

The Tennessee D has seven sacks on the year while Georgia has three.

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Written by GMS Previews

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