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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: College Football Free Betting Pick

Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas A&M Aggies (+20) are heading neutral to face their in-conference foe Arkansas Razorbacks at AT&T Stadium. Interested parties are able to tune in to the action on ESPN and this afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Texas A&M Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

In this Saturday Southeastern matchup, Arkansas is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 20 points. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to wager $1,800 in order to win $100 back on the Razorbacks (-1800). The Aggies are getting +900 moneyline odds. It appears that this match could have some live betting possibilities.

This game’s opening line was initially set at -17 but the general public has been hammering the Razorbacks.

The hapless Aggies are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 9.6 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 0-3. The Razorbacks are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Aggies are 2-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Razorbacks are 1-3 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.

The Aggies fell to Alabama 45-23 in a thumping where their defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 415 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 109 yards and two scores. On the offensive side, the Aggies completed 23-of-44 passes for 263 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Kellen Mond went 16-for-33 for 196 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Nick Starkel completed seven-of-11 for 67 yards. Mond (98 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack. Quartney Davis (five receptions, 59 yards) and Camron Buckley (four catches, 41 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Arkansas just fell 34-3 to Auburn. Ty Storey completed 13-of-31 passes for 141 yards and one interception. Storey (44 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Rakeem Boyd (66 yards on eight carries) handled the running game while Boyd (two receptions, 39 yards) and Jared Cornelius (two catches, 15 yards) led all Arkansas pass-catchers in the loss.

Texas A&M’s run the ball on 53.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arkansas has an overall rush percentage of 55.6 percent. The Aggies have produced 246 rush yards per game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Razorbacks are putting up 164 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

The Aggies offensive scheme has averaged 299 yards through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Razorbacks have recorded 211 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.

Defensively, Texas A&M has allowed opponents to run for an average of 87 yards and throw for 292 yards per game. The Arkansas defense has given up 258.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 88.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Razorbacks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.30 to opponents, while the Aggies have given up an ugly 9.86 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Mond is up to 810 yards this season. He’s connected on 57 percent of his 98 attempts with six scores through the air and two interceptions. Mond has a 7.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.94 over the last two games.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Texas A&M in this one. Kellen Mond, Trayveon Williams and Quartney Davis have combined for 453 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

In the hosts’ locker room, Cole Kelley has completed 15-of-21 passes for 194 yards, three TDs and zero INTs. Kelley’s ANY/A sits at for the year and 0.14 across his last two games.

We’re expecting the Razorbacks to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with WR Michael Woods (13 receiving yards this season), Rakeem Boyd (145 rush yards, 47 receiving yards) and Maleek Williams (17 rush yards) have been significant factors in the Arkansas offense.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Texas A&M knocked Arkansas off by a touchdown 50-43.

Free Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Texas A&M

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

As a team, Texas A&M has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.6 over its last two.

Arkansas has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.9 over its last two.

The Arkansas offense has lost one fumble this season while Texas A&M has lost three.

The Aggies offense has registered one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Razorbacks have put up five such plays.

The Texas A&M defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arkansas has given up three such plays.

The Texas A&M offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Arkansas has created three such runs.

The Aggies defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Razorbacks have given up two such runs.

The Arkansas defense has sacked opposing QBs nine times this year. Texas A&M has recorded five sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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