In a matchup featuring two programs that are nationally ranked in the Top 25, the No. 6 Texas Longhorns (-3) are set to face off against their in-conference nemesis No. 25 Oklahoma State Cowboys at Boone Pickens Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET and ABC will televise the action.
Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
Oklahoma State is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3 points. The Longhorns are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are +135. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 59.5 points. Judging by how things are shaping up, there should be multiple good in-game betting opportunities in this matchup.
The O/U has not moved after it was set initially at 59.5. Having said that, the line opened at 1.5 so the sharp action is siding with the Longhorns.
The Longhorns have gained 1.4 units so far and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-4. The disappointing Cowboys have lost 13.0 units this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.
The Longhorns have gone 6-1 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against conference opponents. The Cowboys are 4-3 SU overall and are also 1-3 SU in conference play.
Texas enters this matchup on a zero-game losing skid while Oklahoma State has won each of its last zero. The Longhorns just got a 23-17 win over Baylor on October 13. the Longhorns completed 24-of-39 passes for 219 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Shane Buechele went 20-for-34 for 184 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Sam Ehlinger completed four-of-five for 35 yards. Keaontay Ingram (110 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and Tre Watson (41 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Collin Johnson (11 receptions, 132 yards, one TD) and Lil’Jordan Humphrey (seven catches, 41 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Back on October 13, Kansas State took care of this Oklahoma State team by a score of 31-12. The Cowboys defense allowed the Wildcats to eat up the clock by rushing for 291 yards on 55 attempts, including four rush TDs. Alex Barnes was outstanding, putting up 181 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 34 attempts, along with 51 yards on three catches for the Wildcats. For Oklahoma State, Taylor Cornelius completed 17-of-35 passes for 184 yards and two interceptions. Cornelius (55 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and Justice Hill (41 yards on 11 carries) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Tylan Wallace (five receptions, 90 yards) and Chuba Hubbard (four catches, 35 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
Each squad has a remarkably similar (54-46) run-pass ratio on the season. The Longhorns have produced 159 rush yards per game (including 143 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Cowboys are averaging 201 rushing yards per game (159 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Cowboys may hold an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness. Their running backs has produced 5.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Longhorns have tallied 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Longhorns offense has averaged 251 yards in the air overall (257 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have produced 292 pass yards per game (260.8 against Big 12 foes) and have 17 total pass scores.
Texas appears to have an edge in both defensive phases. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 126 yards and pass for 234 yards per game. The Oklahoma State defense has allowed 252.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.6 yards per game on the ground. The Longhorns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.46 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys have given up a 6.26 ANY/A.
Offensively, Ehlinger has amassed 1,220 passing yards this season, and has completed 112-of-172 attempts with nine passing scores and only two interceptions. He has a 6.99 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.20 over the past two games.
Collin Johnson (482 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), Keaontay Ingram (317 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Lil’Jordan Humphrey (443 receiving yards, three TDs) have each played key roles recently.
Taylor Cornelius has managed to complete 115-of-194 passes for 1,725 yards, 12 TDs and seven INTs for Oklahoma State. His ANY/A sits at 7.60 for the season and 4.60 over his last two outings.
Tylan Wallace (636 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns on the year), Justice Hill (618 rush yards, six rush TDs) and Tyron Johnson (320 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined to account for 397 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the past couple of games.
These two teams met a year ago with the final outcome being a 13-10 victory for Oklahoma State.
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Oklahoma State offense has lost four fumbles this season while Texas has let three get away.
The Oklahoma State defense has registered 30 sacks on the year while Texas has just 12.
Texas has averaged 4.2 yards per rush attempt across its last three outings and 4.4 over its last two.
Oklahoma State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
Over its last three games, Oklahoma State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Texas’ last game was set at 59. The under cashed in the team’s 23-17 victory over Baylor.
Over its last three matches, Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s last outing was 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-12 loss to Kansas State.
Oklahoma State has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 20-point victory over Kansas on September 29th accounting for its lone win over that span.
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