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Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners: 10/6/2018 Betting Free Pick

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

A matchup that showcases two teams that are nationally ranked in the Top 20, the No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5) are gearing up to play their in-conference counterpart No. 19 Texas Longhorns in Dallas. FOX has the TV rights and the game is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.

Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

In this Saturday Big 12 game, Oklahoma is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7.5 points. The Longhorns are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Sooners are -330. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 61 points, and there will probably be some good in-game betting opportunities for this matchup.

The Longhorns are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.8 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3. The Sooners have gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-1.

The Longhorns are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against conference opponents. The Sooners are 5-0 SU overall and are also 2-0 SU in conference play.

The Longhorns just got a 19-14 victory over Kansas State last week. Sam Ehlinger completed 29 passes on 36 attempts for 207 yards and one touchdown. Keaontay Ingram (68 yards on 10 rush attempts) spearheaded the running attack. Devin Duvernay (six receptions, 43 yards) and Lil’Jordan Humphrey (five catches, 50 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Oklahoma just earned a 66-33 win over Baylor. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Bears to air it out for 416 yards and two touchdowns. Jalen Hurd had a productive showing in the loss, posting a rushing score to go along with 104 yards and a score on nine catches for Baylor. For Oklahoma, Kyler Murray completed 17-of-21 passes for 432 yards and six touchdowns. Murray (45 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) and Kennedy Brooks (107 yards on eight carries, two TDs) mounted the running game as Marquise Brown (five receptions, 132 yards, two TDs) and CeeDee Lamb (three catches, 101 yards, one TD) led all Oklahoma pass-catchers in the win.

Texas has run the ball on 54.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has a rush percentage of 57.5 percent. The Longhorns have produced 153 rush yards per game (including 112 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sooners are averaging 206 rush yards per game (173 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Sooners could own an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 6.1 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.2 to opponents. The Longhorns have ran for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 3.4 YPC to opponents.

The Longhorns offense has averaged 243 yards in the air overall (242 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Sooners have put up 317 pass yards per game (390.0 in the Big 12) and have 18 total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 115 yards and pass for 218 yards per game. The Oklahoma defense has allowed 252.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 152.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Longhorns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.69 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have allowed a 5.99 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ehlinger has put up 930 passing yards this year, and has connected on 86-of-135 attempts with seven passing scores and only two interceptions. He has a 6.76 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

Kyler Murray has managed to complete 66-of-94 passes for 1,295 yards, 14 TDs and one INT for Oklahoma. His ANY/A sits at 15.31 for the year and 18.15 across his past two games.

When these two squads met a year ago, Oklahoma emerged victorious by a score of 29-24.

RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions

Betting Pick: Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners

SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Oklahoma, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Longhorns offense has registered three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Sooners have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Texas defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oklahoma has given up seven such plays.

The Texas offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma has created 12 such runs.

The Longhorns defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Sooners have given up two such runs.

The Oklahoma defensive unit has registered more than twice as many sacks as Texas this season (15 versus seven).

Texas has averaged 3.13934426229508 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.

Oklahoma has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.5 over its last two.

In its last three matchups, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Texas was getting 9 points in its previous game and the O/U going into it was 48.5. The under cashed and Texas covered in the 19-14 win over Kansas State.

Over its last three matchups, Texas is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Oklahoma was favored by 21 points in its last matchup and the O/U was set at 69.5. The over cashed and Oklahoma covered in the 66-33 win over Baylor.

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Written by GMS Previews

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