The Georgia State Panthers (14-5, 5-1 SBC) welcome the Texas State Bobcats (16-3, 5-1 SBC) to GSU Sports Arena as they look to continue their nine-game home winning streak. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 24, 2019.
Texas State Bobcats at Georgia State Panthers ATS Prediction
In the Bobcats’ last matchup, they topped the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 77-64. The Bobcats had an absurd free throw rate of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.236) and had a turnover percentage of 12.6 (better than their season average of 17.3). Texas State was lifted by Nijal Pearson, who was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
The Panthers lost a close one to the Troy Trojans in their last contest, 77-75. Troy’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Georgia State. The Trojans had a rate of 0.224 (below their season average of 0.261), while the Panthers posted a mark of 0.085 (below their season average of 0.235). With 28 points on 11-for-24 shooting, D’Marcus Simonds led Georgia State in scoring.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Malik Benlevi scored a game-high 22 points in the first game, in which the Panthers topped the Bobcats 73-69. He also put up seven rebounds. Georgia State’s 0.360 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Texas State, who had a rate of 0.234.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, this will be a balanced game. The sharp-shooting Georgia State offense ranks 52nd in the nation in that metric at 0.550, while the elite Texas State defense is ranked 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.445).
Texas State at Georgia State Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Texas State ranks 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while Georgia State ranks 255th (39.1).
The Bobcats rank 25th in assists allowed per game (10.5) while the Panthers rank 213th (15.2).
Texas State ranks 86th in three pointers allowed per game (21.1) while Georgia State ranks 267th (27.3).
The Panthers rank 30th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Bobcats rank 169th (2.4).
Georgia State ranks 31st in steals allowed per game (5.2) while Texas State ranks 84th (6.0).
Bettings Trends:
The Bobcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, down from 13.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Panthers have scored an average of 76.0 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
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