This has the makings of a high-scoring affair as the Texas State Bobcats (2-4) play the Georgia Southern Eagles (5-2). This game will feature the SBC’s top rusher, Matt Breida (953 yards, 11 TDs). It starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct 29 and will air on ESPU.
Georgia Southern was defeated by Appalachian State 31-13 last week. Myles Campbell had a solid game in the loss, totaling two receptions for 46 yards. LA Ramsby added 58 rushing yards and a TD on nine attempts. Texas State is hoping for another victory like last week’s performance, when it beat South Alabama 36-18. Robert Lowe had an outstanding performance on the ground for the Bobcats, gaining 248 yards and three TDs on 30 carries.
Georgia Southern is a considerable 18-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable.
The Eagles enter the game with records of 5-2 Straight Up (SU) and 3-3 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In the past five games, Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The Eagles have seen an uptick in scoring recently, averaging 42 points during the last five games. They average 36.4 points per game on the season. The Eagles have an effective running attack, averaging a nation-best 368.9 rushing yards per game. The Georgia Southern pass defense has played at another level the past five games as well. It has given up 202.6 passing yards per game during that span. One of the keys to the game will be whether the Bobcats can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Eagles, who rank 16th in the nation with 2.1 turnovers per game. The Eagles might try to take advantage of the slow-starting Bobcats defense, which gives up 9.2 points per game in the first quarter. Georgia Southern can top most teams in terms of time of possession. The Eagles have an average time of possession of 33:40 per game for 14th-highest in the nation.
On the other side, the Bobcats have 2-4 SU and ATS records this season. In the previous five games, Texas State has a record of 2-3 both SU and ATS. The Eagles may be catching the Bobcats at the wrong time. They have found their groove on the ground, averaging 237.6 rushing yards during the past five games. The Bobcats usually get a boost in the second quarter, when they average 13.2 points this year.
Predictions: SU Winner – Georgia Southern, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern
Notes
Ga Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ga Southern’s last 6 games.
Ga Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ga Southern’s last 6 games at home.
Texas State is 2-1 SU when leading at the half this season. Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, Georgia Southern is winless (0-2 SU) in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet undefeated (3-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
