It will be a battle between MAC opponents when the Western Michigan Broncos (6-9, 0-2 MAC) welcome the Toledo Rockets (12-3, 0-2 MAC) to University Arena in Read Fieldhouse. The game begins at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos ATS Prediction
In the Rockets’ last matchup, they were dismantled by the No. 19 Buffalo Bulls, 110-80. Buffalo’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Toledo. The Bulls had a rate of 7.3 (better than their season average of 13.7), while the Rockets posted a mark of 18.1 (above their season average of 14.7). Chris Darrington was Toledo’s high scorer with 21 points on 5-for-11 shooting.
The Broncos lost to the Kent State Golden Flashes in their last outing, 88-73. Kent State’s 0.613 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Western Michigan, who had a mark of 0.468. The Golden Flashes’ mark was above their season average of 0.511. Michael Flowers put together a solid game for Western Michigan, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 7-for-18 shooting.
After the Rockets won both games against the Broncos last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Toledo won 85-81. Toledo was lights out from beyond the arc (13-28; 46.4 percent). Western Michigan, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (4.8 vs. 12.0).
Western Michigan might have difficulty finding the bottom of the net as they square off against one of the NCAA’s best defenses. Toledo currently ranks 81st in defensive efficiency, while the Broncos rank 222nd in offensive efficiency.
Toledo at Western Michigan Free Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Western Michigan, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Toledo ranks 22nd in assists per game (16.9) while Western Michigan ranks 170th (12.3).
The Rockets rank 48th in three pointers attempted per game (26.4) while the Broncos rank 173rd in three pointers allowed per game (23.7).
Toledo averages 40.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the country. Western Michigan ranks 100th in rebounds allowed per game (34.2).
The Rockets rank 56th in blocks per game (4.1) while the Broncos rank 98th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
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The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 12.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 66.4 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.0 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
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