It will be a battle between Mid-American opponents when the Bowling Green Falcons (12-5) welcome the Toledo Rockets (11-6) to Stroh Center. The game gets underway at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 19 and will air on EFC and ES3.
The Falcons beat Eastern Michigan 84-79 on Saturday. Spencer Parker led all scorers on the team with 21 points on 7-for-12 shooting. The Rockets are coming off a 78-64 win over Akron on Friday. Stuckey Mosley stood out, posting 19 points, four assists, and three steals.
Bowling Green is a slight one-point underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 149 points. The Falcons look to build on their records of 12-5 Straight Up (SU) and 8-5 Against The Spread (ATS). Bowling Green is excellent from the perimeter, shooting a stellar .392 from three-point range. The Falcons do a great job keeping their opponents off of the glass and limiting second-chance points. They average 28.0 defensive rebounds per game, which ranks 43rd in Division I.
On the other side, the Rockets head into the game with records of 8-6 ATS and 11-6 SU. The Rockets rank 41st in the country in scoring, averaging 80.3 points per game. When it comes to making good decisions with the ball, not many are better than the Rockets. They have one of the top assist-to-turnover ratios in the country at 1.64.
These conference rivals will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Rockets were winners, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over their most recent games (5-5). However, with a 6-4 record, Bowling Green has the advantage ATS. Neither team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers over the course of their latest five contests.
Predictions: SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Toledo, O/U – Over
Notes
Bowling Green is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Bowling Green is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green’s last 6 games when playing Toledo.
Bowling Green is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toledo.
Bowling Green sits at 3-1 SU against conference rivals, while Toledo has an even 2-2 SU record against its foes.
Toledo scores 76.2 points per away game (ranked 52nd). Bowling Green ranks a poor 147th in points allowed at home, allowing 66.7 points.
Toledo beats Bowling Green in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Rockets average 70.2 possessions and 1.144 points per possession, while the Falcons average 69.5 possessions with 1.068 points per possession.
The Bowling Green Falcons average an effective field goal percentage of 51.1% this season. The Toledo Rockets have a losing record of 3-5 when opponents have an eFG% of 51.1% or greater.
On average, the Bowling Green Falcons attempt 17.0 three point field goals per game and the Toledo Rockets attempt 22.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Bowling Green has a winning 4-1 record, while Toledo is 7-5.
The eighth-ranked team in the category, Toledo has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.64 this season. Bowling Green ranks lower at 204th with an A/TO of 1.01.
Bowling Green ranks 192nd in offensive rebounds, while Toledo ranks 72nd in defensive rebounds.
Toledo makes an average of 4.9 steals per game. Bowling Green has a winning 11-5 record when it allows at least 4 steals.
