The Toledo Rockets (13-6, 5-1 MAC) will attempt to continue their five-game winning streak against the Western Michigan Broncos (11-8, 3-3 MAC) at University Arena in Read Fieldhouse. The game begins at 12 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 23, 2018.
Toledo opened as a 1-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 150 points.
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos Free Prediction
In the Rockets’ last game, they defeated the Kent State Golden Flashes, 72-65. The Rockets made 14 of their 19 free throws (73.7 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 8.0 (better than their season average of 16.2). Toledo received a boost from Tre’Shaun Fletcher, who led the team in scoring with 17 points on 6-for-17 shooting.
The Broncos fell to the Buffalo Bulls in their last contest, 84-74. Buffalo’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Western Michigan. The Bulls had a rate of 21.6 (below their season average of 32.7), while the Broncos posted a mark of 14.6 (below their season average of 31.6). With 16 points on 6-for-13 shooting, Josh Davis led Western Michigan in scoring.
Western Michigan should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Western Michigan ranks 33rd in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.4 percent), while Toledo forces the third-fewest turnovers (14.8 percent).
Toledo comes into the game with records of 13-6 straight up (SU) and 8-8 against the spread (ATS). There does not appear to be a trend for games including the Rockets in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Western Michigan owns records of 11-8 SU and 7-9 ATS. Of the Broncos’ 16 games with betting action, 9 have finished under the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Thomas Wilder scored a game-high 28 points in the first game, in which the Broncos lost 84-61, unable to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 145 points, which was 6 points below the projected point total of 151 points. Toledo’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Western Michigan. The Rockets had a rate of 0.362, while the Broncos posted a mark of 0.157.
Toledo Rockets at Western Michigan Broncos Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Toledo, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Toledo is 5-4 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Western Michigan is 2-4 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Toledo ranks 72nd in three pointers attempted per game (24.3) while Western Michigan ranks 263rd in three pointers allowed per game (25.8).
The Rockets rank 37th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while the Broncos rank 118th (13.2).
Western Michigan ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Toledo ranks 88th (6.1).
The Rockets average 37.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 89th in the NCAA. The Broncos rank 153rd in rebounds allowed per game (35.5).
Western Michigan ranks 32nd in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Toledo ranks 89th (3.4).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Toledo is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Western Michigan is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.4, up from 5.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 69.2 points per game (5.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average).
