With the calendar turning to Week 12 of the NFL season, we have reached the point when there are rarely any more surprises. After all, we have 11 full weeks of information at our disposal to help make our NFL picks. Thanksgiving Thursday means that the schedule is even more spread out this week with plenty of opportunities to capitalize on notable betting trends. Here is a look at top 5 betting trends for Week 12.
Thanksgiving Day Favorites Are 6-0 Straight Up Over Last Two Seasons
The Thanksgiving Day favorites own a perfect 6-0 record over the previous two seasons. Dating back to 2016, they are 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. That is good news for fans of the Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints, each of which is favored to win this Thursday. Another interesting number to keep in mind is 4-0, which is the record for the Under in the Thanksgiving Thursday prime time game. The total for this year’s game between the Saints and Atlanta Falcons is set at 59. If recent history is any indication, the total will stay under that number again this season.
Related: NFL Betting Guide | Week 12
Broncos Are 0-4 Against The Spread In Their Last Four November Home Games. The Steelers Are 1-4 ATS In Their Last Four As A Road Favorite Of 3.5 To 7 Points.
The Denver Broncos are 4-6 heading in to Week 12. Considering their next opponent and their recent struggles in November home games, it could get worse for them before it gets better. Denver will be a 3.5-point underdog when it hosts the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four November home games and there is a good chance that trend continues this week. Denver has been pretty good of late against the spread, which might have influenced this week’s line. However, Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 straight up over its last five games and should be able to win by four points or more in order to cover this week.
Cincinnati Has Won Seven Straight Versus Cleveland. Bengals Are 9-3 ATS And SU In Last 12 Against Teams With A Losing Record.
After starting the season with a 4-1 record, the Cincinnati Bengals have dropped four of their last five games to fall to 5-5. Now they will host the Cleveland Browns and Denver Broncos in back-to-back weeks with a chance to save their season. The good news for Cincinnati is that it has won seven straight games against the Browns. Meanwhile, Cleveland hasn’t won on the road this season. The Bengals are currently listed as three-point favorites. Cincinnati should be able to win and cover at home in this one.
Chargers Are 18-4 SU In Last 22 As Favorite Of 10 Points Or More – But Are Just 8-14 ATS In Those Games. The Cardinals Have Covered Eight Straight Games After Two Or More Consecutive Losses.
The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a tough loss. Now they return home to take on one of the worst teams in the NFL in the Arizona Cardinals. Los Angeles is currently listed as a 11.5-point favorite, but that number might not be high enough to ignore their potential as a quality ATS pick. After all, the Chargers have covered the spread in each of the last six games in which they have been listed as a sports betting favorite of 10 points or more. Bank on LA extending that trend this week as they attempt to bounce back from last week’s loss with a big win at home.
New England Is 15-4 Against The Spread In Weeks Following A Loss. Patriots Are 12-3 ATS In Last 15 Against Teams With A Losing Record.
Sticking with teams that appear primed to bounce back following a loss, the New England Patriots are coming off a bye week that followed a 34-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans. The Patriots are 15-4 against the spread in weeks following a loss over the last five years. The New York Jets have fared pretty well against New England in recent years when it comes to covering the spread. However, the Jets have failed to cover in each of their last four games and the point spread for this contest is still at single digits. The Patriots will be playing with a sense of urgency coming out of the bye week. Factor in the return of a healthy Rob Gronkowski and New England should have no problem winning and covering against the Jets.
