With just three weeks to go in the regular season, the opportunities are dwindling for teams in playoff positions to make a final push. We decided to concentrate mostly on the teams fighting for postseason position heading in to Week 15 when looking for NFL betting trends. Here is a look at the NFL’s top 5 betting trends for Week 15.
The Packers are 1-4-1 ATS and 0-6 SU in road games this season They are 3-7 SU in their last 10 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Chicago is 6-1 SU and ATS over its last seven games.
The fact that the Chicago Bears are 6-1 straight up and 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games despite missing quarterback Mitch Trubisky for two games is a testament to how good they are. The Bears are just 2-13 against the Green Bay Packers since 2011, but this team seems to have turned a corner and is coming off a big win over the Los Angeles Rams last week. Chicago nearly upset Green Bay the first time these teams met and now they get home field advantage with a healthy Trubisky back under center. The Bears should be able to win at home as a 5.5-point favorite.
Related: NFL Betting Guide | Week 15 Odds
Jets have lost three straight at MetLife stadium by an average of 21.7 points. However, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home dog of 3.5 to seven points.
If there is one team you will probably want to stay away from in Week 15 it’s the New York Jets. New York has lost three straight at MetLife Stadium, both straight up and against the spread. In fact, the Jets suffered those three losses by a combined average of 21.7 points. That doesn’t paint a pretty picture for New York ahead of a clash with a desperate Houston Texans side this Sunday. Houston is still in the mix for the AFC’s No. 2 seed and a first round playoff bye, so they will approach this contest with a strong sense of urgency. Coming off a tough loss to the Colts, look for the Texans to bounce back with a dominant win over the Jets.
Atlanta is 3-10 against the spread this season. However, they are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last seven against NFC West opponents.
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a blowout loss to the Packers that left them at 4-9 on the season. Even worse is the fact that Atlanta is 3-10 against the spread, which is the worst mark in the NFL this season. The Falcons have struggled wherever they have played and while they deserve to be a favorite at home against the lowly Arizona Cardinals this week that doesn’t mean they will cover against them. The Cardinals are 3-10 on the season but they are still 6-6-1 against the spread.
The Browns are 7-19 SU in last 26 as a road underdog of three points or less. The Broncos have won 11 straight games versus the Browns.
The Denver Broncos shocked the football world for all of the wrong reasons in Week 14 when they suffered a 20-14 loss to the San Francisco 49ers that torched their season. However, that embarrassing loss should only serve as added motivation this week when they host the Cleveland Browns. Denver has won 11 straight games against the Browns dating back to the 1991 season. The Broncos are 9-2 against the spread in those contests. Cleveland is 8-5 against the spread this season. However, Denver has been excellent against the spread as well with a 6-2 mark over its last eight games. The Broncos should win and cover at home in a bounce back performance.
The Cowboys have covered in each of their five straight wins. They are 21-9 SU and 17-11-2 ATS in last 30 games where the total was between 42.5 and 49.
The Dallas Cowboys have created some separation atop the NFC East as the favorite to win the division following five straight wins to improve to 8-5. Even more impressive than just getting the victories is the fact that Dallas has covered the spread in each of those five wins. The Cowboys are 1-2 against AFC South opponents this season, but a lot has changed since the addition of wide receiver Amari Cooper. The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a big win over the Texans but could be in for a letdown at home this week. Indianapolis is favored to win by three points, so bank on Dallas to at least cover the spread in this game.
