The first six weeks of the NFL season have helped provide some insight in to what we can expect from the NFL’s 32 teams this season. While the Kansas City Chiefs have been absolutely dominant against the spread, the Houston Texans have been the league’s biggest disappointment from a sports betting perspective. It’s no surprise that both teams are involved in the top sports betting trends to look forward to heading in to this Sunday’s games. Here is a look at the top 5 betting trends for NFL Week 7:
Los Angeles is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games versus Tennessee. The Chargers are 9-2 ATS and 8-3 SU in their last 11 games in weeks 5 through 9. They’re also 29-4-1 ATS and 26-8 SU in their last 34 against AFC South opponents.
Related: NFL Betting Guide | Week 7 Odds
On the other side of the betting spectrum, the Los Angeles Chargers have been an absolute lock over the last three weeks with a 3-0 straight up record including back-to-back covers the past two weeks. Can LA keep it up as a 6.5-point favorite versus the Tennessee Titans in London? The Chargers are 9-0-1 against the spread in their last 10 meetings with the Titans. Tennessee is coming off a 21-0 blowout loss to the Baltimore Ravens so perhaps this trend continues in Week 7.
The total has gone over in each of Tampa Bay’s last five games. The over is 12-6 in the Browns last 18 road games.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost three in a row following a 2-0 start to the season. Regardless of their straight up record, every single game has been high scoring. Their defense is by far the worst in the NFL and they’re on pace to set a new record for points allowed. That’s why it’s no surprise that the total has gone over in each of Tampa Bay’s first five games this season. The Buccaneers rely heavily on their offense to try to make up for their lack of a competitive defense. That could be the case again this week against the Cleveland Browns. The total for this contest has been set at 49.5 points.
Indianapolis has won five straight home games versus Buffalo
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off four straight losses to fall to 1-5 on the season. Are they due for a win at home against the struggling Buffalo Bills this week? The Colts have won five straight home games against the Bills. Indianapolis is listed as a 6.5-point favorite against Buffalo this week. The Colts are just 2-4 ATS this season so it might be difficult to trust them to cover at home. That said, Indianapolis should be a safe bet to win straight up and improve to 6-0 in its last six home games against the Bills.
Bengals are 3-7-1 SU and 4-7 ATS in last 11 off a divisional game. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS this season.
While Houston has been the worst team in the NFL against the spread this season, the Kansas City Chiefs have been the best with a 6-0 ATS record. The Chiefs are coming off their first loss of the season, but still covered as 3.5-point underdogs in a 43-40 loss to the New England Patriots. Kansas City will try to stay perfect at home as a six-point favorite against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are fresh off a divisional game. The Bengals could be stinging as they blew that game with just seconds remaining. Sometimes it’s tough for a team to lose a divisional contest like that against a rival and then come back with the same type of effort the following week.
The Texans have failed to cover five straight times after two or more consecutive wins. They have won three straight but are 1-5 ATS this season. The Texans are also 8-15 ATS and 5-18 SU in their last 23 as an underdog.
The fact that the Texans have covered the spread just once in six games this season suggests they could be one of the more overrated teams in the NFL. Houston covered as a one-point favorite against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. Other than that, the Texans are 0-5 ATS including failing to cover as 10.5-point favorites in last week’s 20-13 win over the Buffalo Bills. Houston will finally be an underdog again this week for the first time since their Week 1 loss to the New England Patriots. The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a 40-7 blowout loss to the Dallas Cowboys, yet they will be a 4.5-point favorite against the Texans. Can Houston keep this game close? Or will the Jaguars bounce back with a big win at home? This year’s sports betting trends suggest the Texans could struggle to cover on the road.
