With the first half of the NFL season in the books, sports betting fans should have a pretty good idea of what to expect from the league’s 32 teams the rest of the way. We took the time to crunch the numbers and identify five of the best betting trends for NFL Week 9.
The 49ers are an NFL-worst 2-6 ATS this season. The 49ers are 0-3 ATS this season and 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite.
San Francisco owns a league-worst 2-6 record against the spread so far this season. While Oakland hasn’t been much better with a 2-5 ATS record, it’s still hard to swallow that the Raiders will be four-point favorites on the road this week. Oakland still might have more talent on its roster than the 49ers, even after trading Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper. Plus, it’s not like this is much of a road trip at all with the two teams based so close together in California. San Francisco doesn’t deserve to be a four-point favorite against the Raiders. There is a good chance the 49ers fail to cover the spread once again this week at home.
Related: NFL Betting Guide | How to Bet Parlays
Atlanta is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last five games as an underdog. The Redskins have covered five straight and are 5-0 SU in games where the line is +3 to -3.
The Falcons haven’t won on the road this season and there is a good chance that trend continues when they visit Washington on Sunday. The Redskins own the best record in the NFC East at 5-2, including a 3-1 record at home. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost five straight games as an underdog with an 0-5 record against the spread in those contests. Washington should continue to roll as a 1.5-point favorite at home in Week 9.
The Seahawks are 12-0 vs. AFC opponents at home when Russell Wilson starts. Seattle has just one turnover and are a +10 in turnover margin over their last five games.
Russell Wilson has never lost to an AFC opponent at CenturyLink Field. He will look to build on that 12-0 record when the Chargers visit this Sunday. Seattle is coming off back-to-back wins to climb above .500 for the first time this season and will look to build on that run when they host Phillip Rivers for the first time. The Seahawks are currently listed as 2.5-point favorites to beat Los Angeles. Considering their history against AFC opponents with Wilson under center at home, there is a good chance Seattle will win and cover this weekend.
Detroit is 5-1-1 ATS vs. NFC North opponents dating back to last season. The Lions are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season (2-2 ATS otherwise). The Lions have won two straight in Minnesota and have won and covered three of the last four meetings overall.
The Lions and Vikings are both coming off lopsided wins and only one of those teams can bounce back with a win this week. Detroit hasn’t exactly been a Super Bowl contender over the past couple of years but it owns a 6-1 record against divisional opponents since the start of last season, including a 5-1-1 record against the spread. Minnesota is 7-2-1 against the spread in games where they are favored by six points or more. However, they could be in tough to cover 6.5 points against an opponent that beat them straight up at home last season. Take the Lions to cover the spread in a close game.
Kansas City is 4-0 ATS on the road this season. The Browns are 11-25 ATS and 2-34 SU in last 36 as an underdog.
The Chiefs are no longer undefeated against the spread this season but they are 7-1 ATS, including a 4-0 ATS record on the road. Kansas City showed no signs of slowing down in last week’s 30-23 win over the Broncos. Now they travel to face a Cleveland side that continues to find different ways to lose games. The Browns have been in almost every one of their games this season but enter Week 9 with a 2-5-1 record overall. The Chiefs should be able to cover as eight-point favorites this weekend and extend their perfect ATS record on the road to 5-0.
