The Baltimore Orioles will do battle against the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+110) is the underdog against Toronto (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds stand at +125 for betting the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -145 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Orioles are 4-7 SU and 4-6 ATS. They’ve gained 0.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.8 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 7-4 SU this year and are 6-4 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 3.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 4-6 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 4-6.
The Blue Jays have lost 1.1 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in two of those games, as opposed to four that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 2.0 units and are 1-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.
Aaron Sanchez (0-1, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Sanchez started eight games last year while finishing the season 1-3 overall with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP. He made two starts against Baltimore in 2017 and compiled a 0-1 record against the Orioles with a 6.35 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The Orioles will put the ball in the hands of righty Andrew Cashner (1-1, 4.09 ERA), who started 28 games last year and finished the season 11-11 overall with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.91, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In five games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .243/.310/.388 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ batters so far. Machado is slashing .326/.415/.565 with 15 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, and Alvarez is batting .308 with four hits, five RBIs and three runs.
Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances (his total season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.52 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.72, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .238/.318/.446 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Toronto’s offense has been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Smoak is slashing .357/.429/.619 with 15 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Solarte is hitting .276/.447/.552 with eight hits, two homers, three RBIs and six runs scored.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.
Baltimore has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.
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