The Baltimore Orioles are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (-110) is favored over Toronto (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at -210 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +175 for the Orioles -1.5 runs.
The Blue Jays are 8-4 SU and have gone 7-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 4.8 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Orioles are 4-8 SU and 4-7 ATS. They’ve lost 1.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 4-6-1 thus far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 4-6-1.
The Blue Jays have lost 0.1 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 2.0 units and are 1-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under.
The right-handed Marco Estrada (1-0, 2.77 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. Estrada struck out 176 hitters over 186 innings last year (with 71 walks) while finishing the season 10-9 overall with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. He made five starts against the Orioles in 2017 and put together a 3-0 record against them with a 3.23 ERA and 35 strikeouts.
The Orioles are rolling with righty Kevin Gausman (0-1, 8.00 ERA) as their starter. Gausman recorded 179 strikeouts across 186 innings last year (34 starts), while finishing the season 11-12 overall with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. He made six starts against Toronto a year ago and assembled a 3-0 record with a 1.51 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.35 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In six divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 3.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .218/.306/.355 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is hitting .313/.421/.542 with 15 hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while Alvarez is batting .250 with four hits, five RBIs and three runs scored.
Machado seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers at home in 2017. Over 265 such plate appearances, he slashed .286/.355/.534 (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.65, along with a WHIP of 1.32.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .235/.318/.433 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Toronto’s offensive production been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and left fielder Curtis Granderson. Smoak is hitting .333/.426/.578 with 15 hits, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Granderson is hitting .379/.471/.621 with 11 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored.
Granderson seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .234/.353/.542 across 238 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .212/.323/.450).
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 11 over their last 10.
Baltimore has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.2 over its last five.
The Orioles have lost three of their last four games SU.
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