The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on their AL East nemesis Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the game.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas is listing Baltimore (+120) as the underdog to Toronto (-130). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. The game’s current runline odds stand at +115 for picking the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -135 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Orioles are 39-94 straight up (SU) and 54-78 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 47.5 units for moneyline bettors and 35.0 units (ATS). The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 60-72 SU and have gone 56-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units ATS.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 56-71-5 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 67-56-8.
The left-handed Ryan Borucki is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Borucki is 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Alex Cobb (4-15, 5.00 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 37 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Cobb is 0-2 with nine strikeouts and a 10.38 ERA across two starts against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a K/9 of 9.05.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.316/.428 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Toronto’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .248/.355/.458 with 20 home runs, 63 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Pillar has a .254 average with 10 homers, 50 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.38 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.74 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 63 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.72.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .286/.335/.411 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Jones is slashing .284/.317/.427 with 13 home runs, 50 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Machado’s line sits at .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.
The Blue Jays have gained 6.3 units and are 38-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 9.9 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
Toronto has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit eight over their last 10.
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