The Baltimore Orioles are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Camden Yards. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Toronto (-110) is entering this one as the favorite against Baltimore (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+135) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-155).
The Orioles are 43-107 straight up (SU) and 61-88 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 53.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 39.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays are 68-82 SU and have gone 65-84 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 30.1 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 67-77-5 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 76-64-9.
Aaron Sanchez will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Sanchez (4-6, 4.90 ERA) has racked up 85 punchouts in 101 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.88 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).
The Orioles are preparing to start righty Dylan Bundy (8-14, 5.48 ERA), who has 166 punchouts and 49 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Bundy is 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.88 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 5.52 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 68 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.84.
The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .245/.310/.352 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have led the way for the Orioles’ batters this year. Jones is hitting .283/.314/.426 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini is batting .239 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.17 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 9.02.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.315/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .248/.354/.466 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar (.248/.277/.421) has produced 14 homers, 56 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Blue Jays have gained 9.1 units and are 44-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 47.6 units and are 38-63 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 51 which went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Toronto has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has nine XBH over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Baltimore has recorded 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
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