The New York Yankees will play host to their AL East foe Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Pix11 is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Toronto (+160) as the underdog to New York (-170). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-135) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+115).
The Yankees are 75-46 straight up (SU) and 60-60 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 1.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have gone 55-66 SU this year and are 51-69 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.6 units for moneyline bettors and 27.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 52-61-7 in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 61 times, gone under 51 times and pushed on eight instances.
The right-handed Marcus Stroman is the projected starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Stroman is 4-8 with a 5.03 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and an 8.71 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Yankees will turn to righty Lance Lynn (8-8, 4.46 ERA), who has 122 strikeouts and 66 walks as well as a 1.54 WHIP. Lynn is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 53 games against AL East opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.36.
The New York offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .230/.294/.382 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ batters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar. Stanton is slashing .281/.348/.532 with 30 home runs, 77 RBIs and 78 runs scored, and Andujar is batting .294 with 19 homers, 59 RBIs and 60 runs.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.90 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a WHIP of 1.41.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .242/.315/.423 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Smoak is slashing .257/.364/.469 with 18 home runs, 59 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Solarte (.233/.287/.397) has produced 17 homers, 53 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 6.5 units and are 33-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 13.0 units and are 44-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven contests.
The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 18 over their last 10.
Toronto fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to four errors for New York over its last five.
The Yankees have dropped three of their last four games SU.
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