The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against their division rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network is in line to televise the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds
Vegas has listed Toronto (+230) as the underdog to New York (-260). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+105) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-125).
The Blue Jays are 55-67 SU and are 51-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.8 units ATS. Toronto hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 76-46 SU and 60-61 ATS. They’ve lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 52-62-7 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a decent over bet with a total record of 61-52-8.
Sean Reid-Foley is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Reid-Foley is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Yankees will put the ball in the right hand of Luis Severino (15-6, 3.27 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), who’s got 173 strikeouts and 37 walks this season. Severino is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.04 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.94 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.42 and a K-per-9 of 9.24.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .242/.315/.422 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Smoak is slashing .255/.363/.466 with 18 home runs, 59 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Solarte (.233/.287/.397) is up to 17 homers, 53 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 54 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.
The New York offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .217/.297/.395 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ hitters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar. Stanton is slashing .283/.349/.538 with 31 home runs, 78 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Andujar’s line is .296/.328/.524 with 19 homers, 60 RBIs and 60 runs.
The Blue Jays have gained 5.2 units and are 33-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 13.0 units and are 44-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 45 that went under.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.
New York has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 18 over their last 10.
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