The Toronto Blue Jays are set to take on the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The game will start at 4:10 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on RTNW and RSN.
Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Odds
Seattle (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite against Toronto (+130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-170) and Mariners -1.5 runs (+150).
The Mariners are 63-48 straight up (SU) and 54-56 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 6.3 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Blue Jays are 51-59 SU and have gone 49-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 18.4 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Seattle games have a 53-55-2 over/under record in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 55 times, gone under 46 times and pushed on eight occasions.
The right-handed Sam Gaviglio is the projected starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Gaviglio (2-4, 5.10 ERA) has recorded 67 punchouts in 72.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mariners are handing the ball to righty Mike Leake (8-7, 4.16 ERA), who’s got 81 punchouts and 29 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Leake is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.
Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .213/.254/.317 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon have led the charge for the Mariners’ batters this year. Segura is hitting .308/.337/.434 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 72 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .285/.305/.345 with 118 hits, 22 RBIs, 49 runs and 26 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.84 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.40.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .242/.315/.426 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Toronto’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak, who collectively have blasted 34 home runs. Solarte is hitting .233/.285/.403 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Smoak (.251/.359/.470) is up to 17 homers, 56 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 5.3 units and are 32-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.3 units and are 37-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in only one of Toronto’s last seven games.
Seattle has recorded 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.2 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 10 over their last 10.
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