The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network is in line to showcase the matchup and the opening pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-270) as the favorite over Toronto (+235). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9.5 runs and -120 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +110 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -130 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 100-46 straight up (SU) and 86-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.4 units for moneyline bettors and 25.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 65-80 SU and have gone 61-83 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 33.0 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 68-70-7 in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 74 times, gone under 61 times and pushed on nine occasions.
Sam Gaviglio will get the nod for Toronto. The right-handed Gaviglio (3-8, 5.25 ERA) has racked up 96 strikeouts in 104.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.95 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox are sending lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (12-4, 3.64 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has 126 punchouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Rodriguez is 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.41 ERA over three starts against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K/9 of 8.97.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.316/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Toronto’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .246/.354/.467 with 24 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar has a .247 average with 12 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 steals.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.46 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 66 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.77.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .264/.341/.387 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is hitting .329/.400/.629 with 40 home runs, 121 RBIs and 105 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .340/.433/.627 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 117 runs and 28 stolen bases.
The Blue Jays have lost 18.4 units and are 18-29 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.4 units and are 68-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 53 which went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven outings.
The Blue Jays have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Toronto has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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