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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Preview 07/10/18

Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will head south to SunTrust Park to play the Atlanta Braves. This interleague matchup will get going at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Southeast to catch the action.

Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-125) as the favorite over Toronto (+115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 9 runs and -105 for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -180 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +160 for the Braves -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 41-48 SU and have gone 42-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 50-39 SU and 47-41 ATS. The team has gained 15.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 44-40-4 thus far in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 41 times, gone under 40 times and pushed on eight instances.

Marcus Stroman is getting the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Stroman is 1-6 with a 6.50 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts over five and two-third innings).

The Braves are turning to righty Julio Teheran (6-6, 4.47 ERA), who has 87 strikeouts and 45 walks to his name as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Teheran only made one start against the Blue Jays in 2017 (0-1, 27.00 ERA and two strikeouts across three innings).

Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.95 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a K-per-9 of 9.04.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .236/.311/.418 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Solarte is slashing .250/.309/.444 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Pillar is hitting .243 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 39 runs and 11 stolen bases.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.61, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .238/.335/.348 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ batters this year. Markakis is hitting .322/.389/.490 with 10 home runs, 59 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .315/.406/.542 with 16 homers, 59 RBIs and 56 runs.

The Blue Jays have gained 3.3 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.3 units and are 35-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Toronto has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Blue Jays have dropped three of their last four games SU.

Atlanta has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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