The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against their divisional foe Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Blue Jays are 69-82 SU and have gone 66-84 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 28.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 43-108 SU and 61-89 ATS. They’ve lost 54.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 41.1 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Orioles games have a 67-78-5 over/under record in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 76-65-9.
Marco Estrada will get the start for Toronto. The right-handed Estrada is 7-12 with a 5.75 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 2-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 5.28 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).
The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Jimmy Yacabonis (0-2, 7.22 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 11 walks this season as well as a 1.53 WHIP. Yacabonis has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.17 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.315/.426 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is hitting .247/.354/.463 with 24 home runs, 76 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar has a .248 average with 14 homers, 56 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.49, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.80.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.291/.344 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ offense has been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .285/.316/.427 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini’s line is .241/.299/.416 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 10.1 units and are 45-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 47.6 units and are 38-63 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just two of Toronto’s last seven contests.
The Orioles have dropped four of their last five games SU.
Toronto has posted 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit seven over their last 10.
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