The Toronto Blue Jays are making a road trip to Baltimore to face off against their division rival Orioles at Camden Yards. The matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Toronto (-200) as the favorite over Baltimore (+170). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 8.5 runs and +105 for under 8.5. The game’s current runline odds stand at +105 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -115 for the Orioles -1.5.
The Blue Jays have gone 6-4 SU this year and are 5-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers this year, but have gained 2.5 units ATS. The Orioles are 4-6 SU and 3-6 ATS. The team has lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 3-6 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 3-6.
The Blue Jays have lost 1.1 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 0.6 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in one of those games, as opposed to one that’ve cashed the under.
Southpaw J.A. Happ (1-1, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. Happ recorded 142 strikeouts over 145 innings last year (25 starts) but finished the season 10-11 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. He made three starts against the Orioles in 2017 and put together a 0-3 record against them with a 3.06 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
The Orioles are going with righty Dylan Bundy (0-0, 0.69 ERA) as their starter. Bundy started 28 games last year and finished the season 13-9 overall with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Blue Jays a year ago and assembled a 2-0 record with a 0.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In four games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.42.
Baltimore’s offense has put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .238/.305/.374 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ hitters so far. Machado is slashing .310/.396/.500 with 13 hits, five RBIs and four runs scored, while Alvarez’s line is .250/.471/.583 with three hits, five RBIs and three runs.
Machado seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .300/.345/.588 in 87 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.85 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.97, along with a K/9 of 9.18.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .233/.309/.442 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Toronto’s offensive production been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Smoak is hitting .351/.432/.649 with 13 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Solarte is hitting .308/.471/.615 with eight hits, two homers, three RBIs and five runs scored.
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Orioles went 12-7 SU against the Blue Jays in 2017.
The Orioles have won three of their last four games SU
The Orioles’ bullpen recorded 3.06 ERA against the Blue Jays last year.
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