The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. The action will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the game.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-180) is favored over Toronto (+170) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-130) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+110).
The Red Sox are 37-17 SU and 28-25 ATS. The team’s gained 10.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Blue Jays are 25-29 SU and have gone 28-25 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 1.4 units ATS.
Neither squad has been a strong over/under play this season. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 25-26-2 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 23-22-8.
Marco Estrada is getting the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Estrada is 2-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Boston this year (four starts).
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Rick Porcello (6-2, 3.74 ERA), who has 65 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Porcello is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA over one starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.6. In 33 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.97.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .244/.328/.494 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Red Sox batters have been led by Mookie Betts, who is hitting .359/.437/.750 with 17 home runs, 37 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.69, along with a K-per-9 of 8.86.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .229/.311/.408 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been paced by Kevin Pillar. Pillar is slashing .278/.323/.460 with four home runs, 21 RBIs, 27 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Red Sox are looking for another victory after an 8-3 win in the prior game of this series.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
The Blue Jays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.
Boston has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
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