The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-240) is hosting this one as the favorite against Toronto (+220) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +100 for picking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Blue Jays have gone 65-79 SU this year and are 61-82 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 32.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 99-46 SU and 85-59 ATS. The team has gained 32.4 units for moneyline bettors and 24.8 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Boston games have had an over/under record of 68-70-6 in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 74 times, gone under 61 times and pushed on eight instances.
Right-hander Aaron Sanchez is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez is 4-5 with a 5.17 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 6.19 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox are sending lefty David Price (14-6, 3.57 ERA) to the mound. Price has 162 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Price is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 3.71 ERA over three starts against Toronto this year.
Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.81.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .287/.354/.420 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is hitting .331/.401/.633 with 40 home runs, 121 RBIs and 105 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .340/.432/.629 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 117 runs and 27 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.24 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.39, along with a K-per-9 of 8.99.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .245/.317/.429 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is hitting .246/.353/.467 with 24 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar (.247/.275/.412) has produced 12 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Blue Jays have lost 17.4 units and are 18-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.4 units and are 68-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 53 that went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
Toronto has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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