Aaron Sanchez (5-4, 3.55 ERA) and Tom Koehler (4-3, 3.72 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (30-30) and the Miami Marlins (24-35) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 4-3, continuing a seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 12:37 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and can be seen on RSN and MLB Network.
Sanchez pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one and striking out three in a 6-2 win over the Astros. Josh Donaldson (.314, 49 Rs, 16 HRs, 43 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. Koehler went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking one in a 6-2 win over the Rockies in his last outing. Giancarlo Stanton (.245, 38 Rs, 21 HRs, 51 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
Toronto is a -148 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Blue Jays have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-281), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 18-12. In interleague play, they have a 2-2 record when they were the favorite and 4-3 SU. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.3 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.3 per game. Toronto’s batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.3 per game. Toronto’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 13-17 record and an overall money line of -1,166. Miami has had a tough time against teams in the AL, coming in winless as the underdog ({betdsi.at.al.dog_record}). Their performance SU is a bit better, with a 3-4. The Marlins allow 4.3 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.7 against teams from the AL.
The Blue Jays have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Blue Jays have a 20-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Sanchez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 8-16 and 17-30, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 36% (10-18) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 57% (16-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 7-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
The Blue Jays are coming into the game with seven consecutive wins, while the Marlins currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 18-11. The Blue Jays have a 26-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 318 this season. Miami ranks 20th with 227 runs.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 135 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 195.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 26-15. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 14-19 record.
