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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview 04/22/18

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will televise the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-215) as the favorite over Toronto (+195). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at +105 for over 8.5 runs and -125 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -110 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -110 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Blue Jays are 13-7 SU and are 12-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season and 5.8 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 10-9 SU and 8-10 ATS. They’ve lost 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.6 units ATS.

Yankees games have had an over/under record of 12-5-1 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 8-9-2.

The left-handed Jaime Garcia is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Garcia is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are sending righty Luis Severino (3-1, 2.63 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 28 punchouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Severino is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Toronto this year.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.20, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .239/.329/.417 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Curtis Granderson have led Toronto’s offense. Solarte is slashing .266/.392/.547 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Granderson (.319/.439/.532) has produced two homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Granderson performed well against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 238 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .234/.353/.542 (his overall season line was .212/.323/.450).

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.72, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 13.3 K/9. In 16 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.12.

The New York hitters have put up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .281/.385/.503 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ offense has been led by right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius. Judge is hitting .338/.472/.634 with six home runs, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and the line for Gregorius stands at .333/.451/.714 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 16 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge did not do very well against lefties last year, slashing .230/.439/.496 over 155 plate appearances.

The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, as opposed to six that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 0.1 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to one which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Toronto’s last seven games.

New York has posted 26 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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