The New York Yankees are playing host to their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will televise the matchup and the game is slated to get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds
Vegas has listed Toronto (+180) as the underdog to New York (-190). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over nine runs and -115 for under nine. Runline odds stand at -125 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +105 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Blue Jays have gone 12-6 SU this year and are 10-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 3.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 9-8 SU and 8-8 ATS. The team’s lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
New York games have an 11-4-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 7-8-2.
Right-hander Marco Estrada is the projected starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Estrada is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year (five starts).
The Yankees are handing the ball to righty Sonny Gray (1-1, 6.92 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and seven walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.92. Gray is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA across one starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.60, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 13.6 K/9. In 14 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.
The New York hitters have put up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.357/.470 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led the charge for the Yankees’ hitters so far. Gregorius is hitting .327/.452/.764 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Judge is hitting .339 with five homers, 12 RBIs and 16 runs.
Judge performed well against righties at home last year, slashing .318/.424/.771 across 257 such plate appearances (his total season line was .284/.422/.627).
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.71 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.30, along with a K/9 of 8.74.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.330/.429 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and left fielder Curtis Granderson. Solarte is slashing .286/.414/.554 with 16 hits, nine RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Granderson is slashing .333/.423/.556 with 15 hits, two homers, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.
Granderson appeared to enjoy hitting righties on the road in 2017. Over 238 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .234/.353/.542 (compared to his overall season line of .212/.323/.450).
The Blue Jays have gained 2.4 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.8 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to three that’ve cashed the under.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 11 over their last 10.
Toronto has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.4 over its last five.
The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
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