The New York Yankees are set to host their division foe Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will get going at 6:35 p.m. ET and Pix11 is in line to broadcast the game.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds
Toronto (+140) is entering this game as the underdog against New York (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-155) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+135).
The Yankees are 8-8 SU and 8-8 ATS. The team’s lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 12-5 SU this year and are 9-7 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 2.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 11-4-1 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 6-8-2.
Aaron Sanchez is getting the start for Toronto. The right-handed Sanchez is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 6.35 ERA against New York this year.
The Yankees are handing the ball to lefty CC Sabathia (0-0, 4.00 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and two walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Sabathia is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA over one starts against Toronto this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 13.4 K/9. In 13 games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.47.
New York’s hitters are putting up 5.6 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .264/.373/.506 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .333/.464/.804 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Judge is hitting .339 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 15 runs.
Judge enjoyed hitting against righties at home in 2017. Across 257 such plate appearances, he slashed .318/.424/.771 (a drop from his overall season line of .284/.422/.627).
In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.72 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.22, along with a K-per-9 of 8.89.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .248/.334/.444 on their way to 6.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led Toronto’s hitters. Solarte is slashing .296/.409/.574 with 16 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Pillar (.338/.368/.508) has produced 22 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Solarte did not do especially well against lefty pitching last year. Across 142 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .211/.275/.289 (compared to his overall season line of .255/.314/.416).
The Blue Jays have gained 3.6 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.8 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to three that went under the total.
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 11 over their last 10.
New York has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games SU.
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