In the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (64-54) and the New York Yankees (64-51) at the Rogers Centre, Drew Hutchison (11-2, 5.26 ERA) and Luis Severino (0-1, 2.45 ERA) get the start. The Yankees won the last game 4-1 and New York leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and will air on YES and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Hutchison pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-2 victory over the Athletics. Jose Bautista (.241, 75 Rs, 27 HRs, 80 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Yankees were unsuccessful to the Indians 5-4 the last time Severino pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking one. Mark Teixeira (.261, 57 Rs, 31 HRs, 79 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Yankees, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Toronto, a -132 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Blue Jays have a winning record of 46-25 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +335. They are 7-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Blue Jays come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Toronto’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 2.3 during that span, compared to its 4.1 season average.
On the other side, the Yankees have a record of 24-25 when they are the underdog and are +193 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.4 runs per game, below their 4.8 season average. The Yankees average just 7.3 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the AL.
The Blue Jays have mostly come out on top against the Yankees in their previous 11 games this season, earning a 7-4 record. This game will feature Severino (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 49-42 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Hutchison will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 41-38 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – Tor, O/U – Over
Notes
Toronto earned its eighth shutout of the season in its last game. New York has been shut out five times this season.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 2-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 10-42. The Yankees have a 12-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total home runs this season, Toronto ranks second with 157 homers and New York is third with 153.
Toronto and New York both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Toronto sits at fifth with 8.79 hits per game and New York ranks fourth with 8.82.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .776 this season. New York ranks fourth with an OPS of .756.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 31-39, well-matched with the Blue Jays who are 35-38 when allowing at least one homer.
