The Toronto Blue Jays will head south to face their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will showcase the matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -160 for the Rays +1.5.
The Blue Jays have gone 30-35 SU this year and are 30-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.9 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 29-35 SU and 32-31 ATS. They’ve lost 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS.
Tampa Bay games have a 29-32-2 over/under record thus far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 28-28-8.
The right-handed Sam Gaviglio will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. Gaviglio is 2-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.80 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).
The Rays are sending lefty Ryan Yarbrough (4-2, 3.68 ERA) to the mound. Yarbrough has 55 punchouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Yarbrough is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.95 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a K/9 of 8.87.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .234/.313/.415 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Toronto’s offense has been led by outfielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte, who collectively have blasted 19 home runs. Pillar is slashing .266/.304/.451 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs, 33 runs and nine stolen bases, while Solarte (.256/.315/.455) is up to 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.10 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 27 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.
The Tampa Bay offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .262/.299/.435 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
First baseman C.J. Cron and third baseman Matt Duffy have led the charge for the Rays’ offense this year. Cron is hitting .258/.327/.484 with 15 home runs, 36 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Duffy’s line is .318/.356/.421 with 62 hits, 17 RBIs and 13 runs.
The Blue Jays have lost 9.8 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 5.8 units and are 20-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Toronto defense has allowed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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