TD Garden is playing host to an intriguing showdown as the Toronto Maple Leafs come into town to face the Boston Bruins. CBC Sports will air this Original Six matchup, and the action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins Odds
Toronto is 11-5 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 1.4 units this year. Through 16 regular season outings, 11 of its games have gone under the total, while four have gone over and none have pushed. This 2018-19 Maple Leafs team is 6-0 SU on the road.
Toronto has converted on 26.2 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s good enough for ninth-best in the league. On the other hand, it has the fourth-best penalty kill in the league, and it has successfully killed off 86.7 percent of all penalties.
Toronto, as a collective unit, has been sent to the penalty box just 3.0 times per game during the 2018-19 season, 3.2 per game over its last five total, and 3.4 per game over its last five on the road. The team’s had to kill penalties just 6.2 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
With a .933 save percentage and 28.9 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (9-5) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto this year. Andersen played last night, however, so Toronto could decide to rest him and instead go with Garret Sparks (2-0 record, .892 save percentage, 3.49 goals against average).
The visiting Maple Leafs will be led by Morgan Rielly and Mitchell Marner. Rielly (20 points) has tallied seven goals and 13 assists, and has recorded two or more points in five different games. Marner has five goals and 14 assists to his credit (and has registered a point in 11 games).
On the other bench, Boston is 8-7 straight up (SU) and has lost 2.2 units for moneyline bettors this year. 10 of its outings have gone under the total, while five have gone over and none have pushed. It’s 5-2 SU at home this year.
Boston has converted on 30.6 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a figure that places it in the top-5 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 20th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 77.6 percent of all opponent power plays.
The Bruins have been penalized 4.7 times per game this season, a number that’s climbed some from the 3.8 penalties per game given up last year. After serving an average of 9.4 penalty minutes per game a year ago, the team’s been forced to kill penalties for a whopping 12.4 minutes per matchup this season.
Jaroslav Halak (25.9 saves per game) has been the top option in the crease for Boston. Halak has four wins, five losses, and two overtime losses to his credit and has registered a .936 save percentage and a solid 1.96 goals against average this season.
Patrice Bergeron (eight goals, 13 assists) will pace the attack for the Bruins.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins Free Picks
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Boston’s last five games.
After averaging the ninth-most shots in the league last season (32.8 per game), Boston’s attempted 29.9 shots per contest overall this season, and 29.6 across their last 10 outings.
The Maple Leafs are 4-1 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 9-5 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes.
Toronto has scored 3.6 goals per game overall this year, but is averaging 4.7 per match up over the team’s three-game winning streak.
Toronto skaters have averaged 8.0 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 9.3 takeaways per game (ranked fifth in the NHL).
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