Offense meets defense when the Toronto Raptors (17-4) travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (12-7). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Toronto is a 4.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 205 points.
Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction
In the Raptors’ last contest, they topped the Miami Heat, 125-115, but they failed to cover as 12-point favorites. The combined points for the game (240) came in well over the projected point total of 215. Toronto had a better effective field goal percentage (0.583 vs. 0.489). Miami, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 6.0 (better than their season average of 13.4). Toronto received a boost from Kawhi Leonard, who was the team’s leading scorer with 29 points on 8-for-20 shooting.
The Grizzlies were beaten by the New York Knicks in their last matchup, 103-98, despite being 8-point favorites. The combined points for the game (201) came in under the projected point total of 204.5. New York made good use of their 32 trips to the charity stripe, making 27 of them (84.4 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, was just 11-19 (57.9 percent). Memphis’ Marc Gasol put together a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 27 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
After the Raptors won both contests against the Grizzlies last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Toronto won 101-86. The Raptors’ 10.3 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Grizzlies, who had a mark of 17.3.
Toronto holds records of 17-4 straight up (SU) and 11-10 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers have a tendency to set the total low when the Raptors are involved, as 14 of their 21 games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Memphis is 12-7 SU and 12-7 ATS. Unlike Toronto, games featuring the Grizzlies tend to go under the total (57.9 percent).
Gasol and Mike Conley have played at a high level over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 22 points,13.0 rebounds,3.6 assists,1.6 blocks per game. Not to be outdone, Conley has put up 23 points,8.2 assists a game during that span.
The ineffective offense of Memphis will face off against the stingy defense of Toronto. The Grizzlies currently rank 24th in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Raptors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Toronto Raptors at Memphis Grizzlies Odds Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Toronto is 6-4 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Memphis is 7-2 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Memphis is 6-2 and Toronto is 3-0.
The Grizzlies are 9-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Raptors are 16-4.
Toronto ranks eighth in rebounds per game (47.2) while Memphis ranks last (39.5).
The Raptors rank 10th in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Grizzlies rank last (9.1).
Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (18.8) while Memphis ranks 23rd (11.1).
The Raptors rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (27.7).
Toronto ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.7) while Memphis ranks 21st (45.7).
The Grizzlies rank 4 in points off turnovers per game (19.42105263157895) while the Raptors rank 14 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.047619047619047).
Memphis ranks 1 in steals allowed per game (6.421052631578948) while Toronto ranks 9 (7.333333333333333).
The Grizzlies average 5.947368421052632 blocks per game, which ranks 7 in the league. The Raptors rank 12 in blocks allowed per game (4.9523809523809526).
Memphis ranks 15 in assists per game (23.63157894736842) while Toronto ranks 19 in assists allowed per game (23.952380952380953).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 17.0, up from 9.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 101.4 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.6 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
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