The Washington Wizards (0-1) go head-to-head against the Toronto Raptors (2-0) at Capital One Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 20, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points with Toronto set as a 1-point favorite.
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards Free Prediction
In the Raptors’ last game, they topped the Boston Celtics, 113-101, but they failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (214) came in just under the O/U total of 215.5. The Raptors had a better free throw rate (0.152 vs. 0.071) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.538 vs. 0.475). Toronto received a boost from Kawhi Leonard, who was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points on 10-for-25 shooting.
The Wizards lost a close one to the Miami Heat in their last outing, 113-112, despite being 6-point favorites. The combined points for the game (225) were over the O/U total of 215. Miami out-rebounded Washington. The Heat had 22 offensive rebounds and 55 total rebounds, while the Wizards had seven and 40, respectively. John Wall had a solid performance for Washington, leading the team in scoring with 26 points on 9-for-16 shooting.
The high-octane offense of Toronto will square off against the mid-tier defense of Washington. Since last season, the Raptors rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Wizards are 15th in defensive efficiency. The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Since last season, the Raptors have had records of 61-23 straight up (SU) and 48-43-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of Toronto games have finished over the projected point total since last season.
The Wizards, on the other hand, are 43-40 SU and 47-48-1 ATS since last season. Vegas has had a tendency to place the total low when Washington has been involved over that same stretch as 60.4 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total.
The Raptors won six out of 10 matchups against the Wizards last season. In the most recent contest, Toronto won 102-92. The Raptors had a much better turnover percentage (5.7 vs. 13.7) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.0 vs. 26.2).
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When holding opponents under 100 points, Washington is 20-4 and Toronto is 30-5.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Raptors are 59-19 and the Wizards are 42-23.
Toronto ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while Washington ranks 24th (26.2).
The Raptors rank second in blocks per game (6.1) while the Wizards rank 21st (4.5).
Toronto ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (48.8) while Washington ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.7).
The Raptors rank 11th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Wizards rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
Toronto averages 16.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Washington ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Raptors average 24.0 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 10th in assists allowed per game (22.3).
Washington ranks 13th in fast break points per game (12.1) while Toronto ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (12.0).
The Raptors rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while the Wizards rank seventh (42.5).
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