Both teams look to remain unbeaten as the Milwaukee Bucks (6-0) take on the Toronto Raptors (6-0) at Fiserv Forum. The game will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, October 29, 2018.
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction
Although the Raptors topped the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup, 116-107, they failed to cover as 11-point favorites. The total points for the game (223) were just over the projected point total of 221.5. The Raptors held the Mavericks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.8 (below the 27.3 mark opponents have averaged against Toronto this season) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.544 vs. 0.478). Toronto received a boost from Kyle Lowry, who recorded 20 points and 12 assists.
In the Bucks’ last matchup, they won big over the Orlando Magic, 113-91, comfortably covering as 9-point favorites. The total points for the game (204) were well under the projected point total of 220. One of Milwaukee’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 21-23 (91.3 percent), while the Magic were 15-17 (88.2 percent). With 18 points and seven rebounds, Khris Middleton played well for Milwaukee.
The physical Milwaukee offense could be living from the free throw line in this showdown. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Bucks rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Toronto ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.211).
Toronto comes into the contest with records of 6-0 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Raptors are involved, as five of their 6 games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee owns records of 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS. Coinciding with Toronto, Bucks games also have typically finished over the total (66.7 percent).
The Raptors won two out of three contests against the Bucks last season. In the last contest, Milwaukee won 122-119. Milwaukee had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 11.6). Toronto, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.6 vs. 15.0).
Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Milwaukee is 21-6 when they allow below 100 points, while Toronto is 30-5.
The Bucks are 46-22 when they score over 100 points, while the Raptors are 63-19.
Toronto ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (25.7).
The Raptors rank 12th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Bucks rank last (10.4).
Milwaukee ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while Toronto ranks 22nd (7.4).
The Raptors rank sixth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Bucks rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.7).
Milwaukee averages 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Toronto ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
The Bucks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.9) while the Raptors rank 16th (12.2).
Toronto ranks 18th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (40.7).
The Bucks rank third in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while the Raptors rank 12th (16.7).
Toronto averages 24.1 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Milwaukee ranks 15th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
*****
