The Washington Wizards (28-22) square off against the Toronto Raptors (34-15) at Capital One Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 1, 2018, and will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points with Toronto set as a 3-point favorite.
Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards Free Prediction
In the Raptors’ last contest, they topped the Minnesota Timberwolves, 109-104. Toronto made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 22 of them (84.6 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, was just 15-24 (62.5 percent). Toronto was led by Jonas Valanciunas, who finished with 18 points and 11 rebounds.
The Wizards were victorious over the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game, 102-96. Washington forced the Thunder into a turnover percentage of 17.4 (above their season average of 12.1). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 22.8). Otto Porter Jr. led Washington in scoring with 25 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Toronto in this battle. The Raptors are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking eighth in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.5 percent. Meanwhile, Washington ranks 25th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.2 percent.
Toronto holds records of 34-15 straight up (SU) and 26-23 against the spread (ATS). Of the Raptors’ 49 games, 25 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Washington owns records of 28-22 SU and 22-28 ATS. Contrary to Toronto, a little over half of Wizards games have finished under the O/U total.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Raptors won the most recent matchup 100-91, covering as 7-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 191 points, which was 16.5 points below the projected point total of 207.5 points. The Raptors had a much better turnover percentage (6.8 vs. 13.4) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 vs. 17.8). DeMar DeRozan was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points.
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Toronto is 14-12 ATS on the road with 14 overs and 12 unders.
Washington is 9-16 ATS at home with 12 overs, 11 unders and 2 pushes.
Washington is 14-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Toronto is 15-5.
When scoring above 100 points, the Raptors are 31-8 and the Wizards are 25-11.
Toronto ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (25.1) while Washington ranks 20th (29.6).
The Raptors rank fourth in points in the paint per game (48.4) while the Wizards rank 23rd (41.9).
Toronto ranks second in blocks per game (6.1) while Washington ranks 17th (4.6).
The Wizards average 12.8 second chance points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Raptors rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
Toronto ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while Washington ranks 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9).
The Raptors average 43.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Wizards rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (43.7).
Toronto averages 13.9 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Washington ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (11.0).
The Raptors average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Wizards rank 10th in steals allowed per game (7.4).
Washington averages 23.6 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Toronto ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (22.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Toronto is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Washington is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 7.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.2 points per game (0.8 above their season average).