This weekend the English Premier League schedule continues with Round 33 on the menu. First match on Saturday will be the encounter between the only team that currently presents a danger for the league table leaders Chelsea FC, the Tottenham Hotspur who will host the Bournemouth AFC, at the White Hart Lane. It’s a chance to win some easy cash so let’s take a closer look at the match analysis that we have prepared for you in order to give that chance a better odds.
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR FC vs. AFC BOUREMOUTH
3-Way: 1: Tottenham Hotspur -323 ; X: + 566 Draw; AFC Bournemouth +1150
Spread -1.5: Tottenham Hotspur -118; AFC Bournemouth +125
Total +3.5 : Over +125; Under -128
FC TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR
The Tottenham Hotspur team continues to be the only threat for the league table leaders Chelsea FC this season as they’re currently seven points behind the London Blues, difference that is surely attainable. After a comfortable 4:0 win over Watford on Saturday they have five points advantage over the third ranked Liverpool FC but they also played one match less so far.
The Spurs have been steady for the entire year with no long-spanned result crisis occurring. The only period during the season when they’ve played at least three games without a victory happened during October last year when they went on to record four consecutive draws. Tottenham is also the best home team in the league this season with 14-2-0 record and 39-8 goal difference (64-22 overall) and they top the home league table with 44 of 48 possible points earned.
Obviously they are undefeated in front of their own crowd this year and the last time they haven’t got the full prey at home was almost six months ago when they split the points with Leicester City on October 29th, 2016. They’ve also scored in every home match this season and have 11 consecutive victories at White Hart Lane. Spurs are 7-0-1 in the last eight overall games including six consecutive wins.
On the statistical sheet they score 2.44 goals and concede 0.50 goals per game at home. 56% of Spurs’ home matches are over 2.5 goals while 38% of matches are over 3.5 goals in total. 19% (almost every fifth match) of home games are over 4.5 goals and the most common results at home are 4:0 and 1:0 wins (both occurred three times).
The second most successful north London team owes its success this year to a great group of very talented players but some of them stick out. The English nationals Harry Kane and Delle Alli are both in the top six scorers list in the league with Kane scoring 18 (2nd in the league) and Alli hitting the net 16 (6th in the league) times. Midfielder Christian Eriksen collected 11 assists (tied 1st in the league) and he also collected team-high 113 shots so far (2nd in the league). Victor Wanyama tops the team in total passes with 1.643 while Eriksen collected 1.629.
Erik Lamela (Hip Injury) is expected to be out until at least June 1st, while Harry Winks (Ankle injury) has unspecified date of return but is a major doubt for this weekend. Danny Rose (MCL Knee Ligament Injury) should be ready in late April or early May while Victor Wanyama (Back Injury) and Michael Vorm (Knee Injury) should be ready for the Saturday’s game.
AFC BOURNEMOUTH
The AFC Bournemouth is slowly getting out of the danger zone in the league table. They’ve accomplished that with some solid performances lately and they currently rank 15th in the league table with 35 points in 32 matches. They are one point behind four teams (Leicester City, Burnley, Stoke City and West Ham United) and they have one point advantage over Crystal Palace.
The Cherries are seven points above the relegation line and if they can keep up with the good plays the survival shouldn’t come in question. 2-3-3 is their record in the last eight games and they are 0-3-1 in the last four road games. Bournemouth clearly plays better at home as 69% of their total points are earned in front of their home crowd but they are also undefeated in their last three away games (three draws). Most recent road draw (2-2) happened last week at the Anfield against the very good Liverpool FC.
They are 2-5-9 on the road with 18-33 goal difference (45-59 overall) and they rank 14th in the road league table with 11 of 48 possible points earned. 62% of the Cherries road games are over 2.5 goals and 44% of their away matches are over 3.5 goals in total. Most common results on the road are 2-2 and 1:1 draws and 3:1 win (all occurred two times).
Striker Joshua King tops the team in scoring this season with 13 goals so far (10th in the league) while Callum Wilson and Benik Afobe have six and five in their accounts. Topping the assists list is Junior Stanislas with five while Adam Smith and Afobe collected four and three. Harry Arter has most total passes with 1.665.
Adam Federici (Cartilage Knee Injury) and Andrew Surman (Knee Injury) are both major doubts for Saturday game with unspecified dates of return. Callum Wilson (ACL Knee Injury) is expected to be out until at least October 21, 2017. Junior Stanislas (Groin Strain) should be ready after April 15, but he is still a major doubt for the White Hart Lane visit. Dan Gosling (Knee Injury) should be available to boss Howe.
TOTTENHAM vs. BOURNEMOUTH PREDICTION:
Since the AFC Bournemouth got promoted into the English Premier League two years ago these two teams met three times. Last season the Spurs swept the series with 3:0 home and 5:1 road win but the first matchup in this season that was played on October 22nd, 2016 was a goalless draw. Now, given the fact that the London team is the best home team in the league this year, they clearly hold the edge when it comes to the final result of the game but both teams also have tendencies to score often but my prediction is that this game will end up under 3.5 goals in total. As the season is slowly coming to its end, the teams will look to tighten their defense, especially if they are in a situation battling for the Premier league status next season, like the Cherries are.
MY PICK: Under 3.5 goals (-128)
