The Towson Tigers (20-10) will try to slow down the Colonial Athletic’s top scoring team when they take on the UNC Wilmington Seahawks (21-7) at Raiford G. Trask Coliseum. The game begins at 1:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27.
The Seahawks are hoping to rebound after their 70-69 loss to Hofstra on Thursday. Jordon Talley finished with 16 points to lead the team. The Tigers, meanwhile, are coming off a 69-67 win over James Madison on Thursday. Timajh Parker-Rivera stood out, accounting for 13 points, nine rebounds, and three steals.
The aggressive Towson offense seems poised to make an impact from the foul line. It ranks seventh in the nation at getting to the stripe (FTA rate of 46.3), while UNC Wilmington is among the nation’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 343rd-ranked FTA rate of 54.0).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Tigers winning the first matchup 76-60. Mike Morsell was a top performer in the victory with 17 points, nine rebounds, five assists, two steals, and one three-pointer.
The Seahawks are attempting to build on their records of 21-7 Straight Up (SU) and 13-11 Against The Spread (ATS). Teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Seahawks, who have allowed only 5.0 three-pointers to opponents per game. Not making mistakes with the ball is a staple of the UNC Wilmington offense, which averages just 11.3 turnovers per game.
In the other locker room, Towson has a SU record of 20-10 and an ATS record of 11-11. The Tigers get to the line and convert their free throws at a high volume, ranking 11th in the nation with 538 made (17.0 per game). Towson is one of the better offensive rebounding teams in Division I. The Tigers average 14.1 offensive rebounds per game, making them the 11th-best team in the country for that category. Switching gears to the Towson defense, blocking shots is an area where it has excelled. The Tigers average 4.8 blocks per game, making them one of the best in the nation.
Towson beat UNC Wilmington in their most recent meeting this season, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over their most recent games (5-5). The Tigers hold the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4. Neither UNC Wilmington nor Towson has led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers) over their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – NC-Wil, ATS Winner – NC-Wil
Notes
“UNC Wilmington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games “.
“UNC Wilmington is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games “.
“UNC Wilmington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home”.
“UNC Wilmington is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNC Wilmington’s last 9 games when playing Towson”.
“UNC Wilmington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Towson”.
“UNC Wilmington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Towson”.
UNC Wilmington and Towson hold winning records against the Colonial Athletic Conference this season. The UNC Wilmington Seahawks sit at 13-4 SU and the Towson Tigers have an 11-6 record.
UNC Wilmington averages 83.6 points per home game (ranked 31st). Towson allows 71.2 points per away game (ranked 71st).
The UNC Wilmington Seahawks rank 63rd for their offensive rating of 111.4. The Towson Tigers have a defensive rating of 99.6 (ranked 84th).
The UNC Wilmington Seahawks average 71.9 possessions and 1.114 points per possession in games this season. The Towson Tigers average fewer possessions with 66.3, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.085.
The Towson Tigers average an effective field goal percentage of 47.7% this season. The UNC Wilmington Seahawks have a solid 9-4 record in games where opponents have an eFG% of 47.7% or greater.
On average, UNC Wilmington attempts 20.0 three pointers and Towson attempts 17.0. Both teams have winning records when they have 20 or more three point attempts. The UNC Wilmington Seahawks sit at 11-4 and the Towson Tigers are 8-4.
UNC Wilmington ranks 63rd in blocks per game with 4.5 and Towson ranks 41st with 4.8 blocks per game.
UNC Wilmington ranks 80th in offensive rebounding. Towson ranks 179th in defensive rebounding.
Towson makes an average of 6.3 steals per game. UNC Wilmington has a fantastic 8-1 record when it allows at least 6 steals.