A couple of schools that prefer to run the football, Bearcats (-7) are set to welcome their AAC foe Tulane Green Wave to Cincinnati. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET and ESPNU has the TV rights.
Tulane Green Wave at Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
In this Saturday American Athletic Conference matchup, Cincinnati is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to lay down $300 to win $100 back on the Bearcats (-300). The Green Wave are getting +220 moneyline odds. Multiple good live betting opportunities might present themselves during the matchup, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points.
The game’s O/U has moved upward after initially being set at 51. The opening line of -7 hasn’t changed.
Each team has posted a positive return this season as the Green Wave have recorded 3.3 units while the Bearcats are up 8.0 units.
The Green Wave have gone 2-3 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Bearcats are 5-0 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.
The Green Wave are on the upswing after a 40-24 victory over Memphis last week where Jonathan Banks completed 12-of-21 passes for just 127 yards. Darius Bradwell (143 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) and Corey Dauphine (87 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack while Darnell Mooney (four receptions, 94 yards, one TD) and Terren Encalade (four catches, 35 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Cincinnati is coming off of a 49-7 win over Connecticut. Desmond Ridder completed 20-of-26 passes for 270 yards and two touchdowns. Michael Warren II (106 yards on 13 rush attempts, two TDs) and Tavion Thomas (56 yards on 10 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Josiah Deguara (five receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and Thomas Geddis (five catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tulane has run the ball on 65.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Cincinnati has an overall rush percentage of 66.5. The Green Wave have produced 203 rush yards/game and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bearcats are putting up 252 rush yards per game and have 19 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Bearcats could have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.2 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Green Wave have recorded 4.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.
The Green Wave offensive scheme has averaged 197 yards in the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Bearcats have put up 220 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass scores.
Defensively, Tulane has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and throw for 292 yards per game. The Cincinnati defense has allowed 158.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bearcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.46 to opposing QBs, while the Green Wave have given up a 7.06 ANY/A.
Offensively, Banks has put up 778 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 50 percent of his 98 attempts with five scores through the air and only one interception. Banks has a 6.54 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.95 over the last two outings.
Desmond Ridder has managed to complete 48-of-71 passes for 614 yards, six TDs and zero INTs for Cincinnati. His ANY/A stands at 9.30 for the season and 10.00 over his last two outings.
These two schools faced off a year ago with the final result being a 17-16 victory for Cincinnati.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Pick: Tulane Green Wave vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
SU Winner – Tulane, ATS Winner – Tulane, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Cincinnati has lost two fumbles this season while Tulane has lost four.
The Tulane defense has 13 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has nine.
As a team, Tulane has produced 4.29710144927536 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.
Cincinnati has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its last two.
Tulane was the underdog by 15 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 66. The under cashed and Tulane covered in the 40-24 win over Memphis.
Over its last three games, Tulane is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
Cincinnati was the underdog by 16 points in its previous matchup and the O/U was set at 62.5. The under cashed and Cincinnati covered in the team’s 49-7 victory over Connecticut.
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