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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. SMU Mustangs ATS Preview 01/12/19

John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between AAC opponents when the SMU Mustangs (10-5, 2-1 AAC) welcome the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (11-5, 1-2 AAC) to Moody Coliseum. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and will air on ESPNU.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. SMU Mustangs Free Prediction

In the Golden Hurricane’s last game, they were topped by the Cincinnati Bearcats, 70-65. Cincinnati’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Tulsa. The Bearcats had a rate of 14.8 (worse than their season average of 13.8), while the Golden Hurricane posted a mark of 28.5 (above their season average of 16.0). DaQuan Jeffries was Tulsa’s high scorer with 14 points on 4-for-4 shooting.

The Mustangs fell to the Connecticut Huskies in their last game, 76-64. One of Connecticut’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 31 free throw attempts, while SMU had 16. With 20 points on 9-for-18 shooting, Jimmy Whitt Jr. was SMU’s leading scorer.

After the Golden Hurricane won the only contest against the Mustangs last season, 76-67, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Golden Hurricane knocked down 23 of their 28 free throws (82.1 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (38.2 vs. 32.6).

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. SMU currently ranks 345th in possessions per game (65.6) and Tulsa is 273rd (68.2). Also, the Golden Hurricane rank seventh in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.329), while the Mustangs rank 260th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.255).

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. SMU Mustangs Odds Pick

Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Tulsa, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

SMU ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (31.0) while Tulsa ranks 178th (36.4).

The Mustangs rank 113th in three pointers attempted per game (23.5) while the Golden Hurricane rank 231st (19.6).

SMU ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Tulsa ranks 131st (7.0).

The Mustangs average 14.5 assists per game, which ranks 91st in the country. The Golden Hurricane rank 114th in assists allowed per game (13.1).

SMU ranks 50th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Tulsa ranks 63rd (2.9).

Bettings Trends:

The Golden Hurricane have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, Tulsa has defeated opponents by an average of 3.1 points.

During their last five games, the Mustangs have scored an average of 76.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.2 points per game (2.9 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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