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UC Davis Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview 11/12/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Arkansas Razorbacks (0-1) welcome the UC Davis Aggies (0-2) to Bud Walton Arena for their home opener. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018.

UC Davis Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks Free Prediction

The Aggies are trying to rebound after their 76-57 loss to the San Diego Toreros in their last outing. San Diego’s 21.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over UC Davis, who had a rate of 14.3. TJ Shorts II was UC Davis’ leading scorer with 17 points on 6-for-13 shooting.

The last time the Razorbacks were in action, they lost a tight one to the Texas Longhorns, 73-71. Getting to the free throw line was one of Texas’ largest advantages. They had 30 free throw attempts, while Arkansas had 24. Arkansas’ Daniel Gafford had a solid performance, leading both teams in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-15 shooting.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play a key role in this meeting. Since last season, Arkansas has committed the 22nd-fewest miscues in the country (turnover percentage of 15.5 percent), while the pesky defense of UC Davis has forced the 27th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 21.9 percent). Moreover, the Aggies rank 41st in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.280), while the Razorbacks rank 331st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.297).

UC Davis Aggies at Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

Arkansas ranks 34th in blocks per game (4.7) while UC Davis ranks 245th (2.3).

The Razorbacks rank 16th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while the Aggies rank 173rd (6.4).

UC Davis ranks 116th in three pointers allowed per game (20.9) while Arkansas ranks 270th (24.3).

The Razorbacks rank 124th in assists per game (14.1) while the Aggies rank 260th (12.1).

Arkansas ranks 195th in rebounds per game (34.8) while UC Davis ranks 303rd (32.1).

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