The UC Davis Aggies (4-11, 0-1 BigWst) look to put an end to their eight-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Long Beach State 49ers (6-10) at The Walter Pyramid. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and will air on ESPN 3.
UC Davis Aggies at Long Beach State 49ers ATS Prediction
In the Aggies’ last outing, they were beaten by the UC Irvine Anteaters, 71-69. One of UC Irvine’s biggest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 34 trips to the line, while UC Davis went 25 times. TJ Shorts II was UC Davis’ leading scorer with 21 points on 9-for-22 shooting.
The 49ers dismantled the Bethesda Flames in their last matchup, 124-52. The 49ers had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 18.8) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.709 (above their season average of 0.457). Bryan Alberts was the game’s high scorer with 35 points on 13-for-22 shooting from the field.
After the Aggies won both contests against the 49ers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, UC Davis won 105-104. The Aggies’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the 49ers. UC Davis had a rate of 11.5, while Long Beach State posted a mark of 13.4.
The physical Long Beach State offense could be living from the charity stripe in this matchup. The 49ers rank 53rd in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.254, while UC Davis ranks 270th in FTA rate allowed (0.260).
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State 49ers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Long Beach State, ATS Winner – UC Davis, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Long Beach State ranks 97th in rebounds per game (39.2) while UC Davis ranks 240th (31.3).
The Aggies rank 182nd in three pointers attempted per game (21.1) while the 49ers rank 258th (20.9).
UC Davis ranks 40th in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Long Beach State ranks 92nd (3.7).
The 49ers rank 91st in steals per game (7.3) while the Aggies rank 138th in steals allowed per game (7.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Aggies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 5.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the 49ers have scored an average of 81.8 points per game (7.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.2 points per game (7.2 below their season average).
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